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2305 N Ellis St
B Composite 71.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,000

2305 N Ellis St · Peoria, IL 61604
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 878 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 179 Days on market
Built 1925 5,662 sqft lot $41/sqft · 10% below area Est $40k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

RARE 30-PROPERTY PORTFOLIO! Instantly scale your real estate holdings with this incredible 30-property package. This portfolio is a prime value-add opportunity with massive upward income potential. Current rented properties provide income while you rehab the others.  Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $31,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.73%
Cap rate
22.57%
Cash-on-cash
58.14%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,526
List price
$36,000
Delta
-8.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2332 N Ellis St 0.09mi 2/1.0 840 (-4%) 2mo $24,000 $29 87
1214 W Brons Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 864 (-2%) 2mo $34,900 $40 74
1131 W Nowland Ave 0.44mi 1/1.0 (-1) 880 (+0%) 0mo $53,500 $61 74
2318 N Flora Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 768 (-12%) 2mo $90,000 $117 72
1126 W Gilbert Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 878 (0%) 2mo $89,900 $102 68
1126 Thrush Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 952 (+8%) 1mo $62,500 $66 65
617 W Hanssler Pl 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (+8%) 2mo $65,000 $68 63
1017 W Gilbert Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 816 (-7%) 2mo $20,000 $25 59
412 E Republic St 0.75mi 2/1.0 925 (+5%) 1mo $26,200 $28 55
804 W Maywood Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 973 (+11%) 1mo $134,000 $138 52
1631 N Dechman Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 956 (+9%) 0mo $30,000 $31 50
112 E Gift Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 971 (+11%) 2mo $90,000 $93 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$24,623
Equity at exit
$5,368
10-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
6.84×
Total profit
$58,871
Equity at exit
$3,113

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $365
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $999 $1.16 13d 1 0.11mi
812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 822 $795 $0.97 43d 1 0.15mi
905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 21d 1 0.22mi
903 W Brons Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 971 $995 $1.02 43d 1 0.24mi
2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 575 $550 $0.96 43d 1 0.36mi
2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 13d 1 0.51mi
1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 676 $1,200 $1.78 13d 1 0.69mi
3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 1.5 967 $1,750 $1.81 43d 1 0.73mi
1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 525 $1,006 $1.92 13d 4 0.92mi
511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 43d 1 0.95mi
737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 43d 1 1.00mi
416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 43d 1 1.15mi
901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 21d 1 1.16mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 43d 1 1.22mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 13d 1 1.22mi
905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 43d 1 1.23mi
2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 946 $802 $0.85 13d 1 1.35mi
W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 13d 4 1.35mi
811 W Purtscher Dr Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 43d 1 1.42mi
4020 N Bryer Pl Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,250 $1.74 21d 1 1.47mi
2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,300 $1.44 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-07
    status Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    RARE 30-PROPERTY PORTFOLIO! Instantly scale your real estate holdings with this incredible 30-property package. This portfolio is a prime value-add opportunity with massive upward income potential. Current rented properties provide income while you rehab the others.  Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity.

  2. 2026-02-09
    status Pending 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    RARE 30-PROPERTY PORTFOLIO! Instantly scale your real estate holdings with this incredible 30-property package. This portfolio is a prime value-add opportunity with massive upward income potential. Current rented properties provide income while you rehab the others.  Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity.

  3. 2025-11-05
    listed $36,000 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    RARE 30-PROPERTY PORTFOLIO! Instantly scale your real estate holdings with this incredible 30-property package. This portfolio is a prime value-add opportunity with massive upward income potential. Current rented properties provide income while you rehab the others.  Don’t miss out on this amazing opportunity.

  4. 2024-06-16
    historical
  5. 2024-02-27
    listed Active
  6. 2021-08-06
    historical
  7. 2011-08-02
    soldstatus $491,000
  8. 2010-09-15
    soldstatus $132,000
  9. 2010-09-09
    soldstatus $12,000
  10. 2010-06-08
    listed $29,000
  11. 1998-06-16
    soldstatus $29,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,018 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,802
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$1,018
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$5,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,357
After-tax cash flow
$4,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-07 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $36,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-16 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-27 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $491,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-09 Sold (MLS) $12,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-08 Listed $29,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,018 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…