873 Port West Dr · Auburn, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hard to find 4-bedroom ranch w/ bonus room located in a quiet Gwinnett Co. neighborhood nestled next to Little Mulberry Park. Beautiful laminated hardwoods & vaulted ceilings complement the open-concept floor plan. Kitchen provides plenty of cabinet space, tile flooring & stainless steel appliances. Add'l features: New bath fixtures, NEWER ROOF , covered patio overlooking landscaped large garden area. Schools in the area: Mulberry ES, Dacula MS & HS, Countryside Montessori & Hebron Christian Academy.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Tile flooring
- 4 bedroom ranch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (28.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (32.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $264k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in GA, #4,693 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.87%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $430,710
- List price
- $389,995
- Delta
- -9.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 York View Dr | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,123 (+4%) | 6mo | $397,777 | $187 | 65 |
| 650 Wiley Ln | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,824 (-11%) | 18mo | $450,000 | $247 | 49 |
| 558 Auburn Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 2,331 (+14%) | 11mo | $620,000 | $266 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-104,357
- Equity at exit
- $58,150
- IRR
- -30.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-147,619
- Equity at exit
- $33,720
Cash invested: $109,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30011
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$486 /mo · $5,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $-625
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,499
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3373 Fence Rd NE Dacula, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 2580 | $2,250 | $0.87 | 2d | 16 | 0.55mi |
| 3940 Fence Rd Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 2467 | $2,820 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3421 Lynley Mill Ln Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2465 | $2,425 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3336 Bridle Brook Dr Auburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,175 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3577 Sandy Bank Dr Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2620 | $2,250 | $0.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3245 Ambergrove Trce Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2320 | $2,900 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1435 Lake Heights Cir Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2514 | $2,600 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3370 Elkhorn Ridge Run Dacula, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2880 | $3,300 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 408 Elkhorn Glen Ct Auburn, GA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2656 | $2,850 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $389,995 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,995 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $389,995 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,995 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,995 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-02-14price $389,995 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Hard to find 4-bedroom ranch w/ bonus room located in a quiet Gwinnett Co. neighborhood nestled next to Little Mulberry Park. Beautiful laminated hardwoods & vaulted ceilings complement the open-concept floor plan. Kitchen provides plenty of cabinet space, tile flooring & stainless steel appliances. Add'l features: New bath fixtures, NEWER ROOF , covered patio overlooking landscaped large garden area. Schools in the area: Mulberry ES, Dacula MS & HS, Countryside Montessori & Hebron Christian Academy.
-
2026-02-14price $389,995 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Hard to find 4-bedroom ranch w/ bonus room located in a quiet Gwinnett Co. neighborhood nestled next to Little Mulberry Park. Beautiful laminated hardwoods & vaulted ceilings complement the open-concept floor plan. Kitchen provides plenty of cabinet space, tile flooring & stainless steel appliances. Add'l features: New bath fixtures, NEWER ROOF , covered patio overlooking landscaped large garden area. Schools in the area: Mulberry ES, Dacula MS & HS, Countryside Montessori & Hebron Christian Academy.
-
2025-12-05$395,000 New 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Hard to find 4-bedroom ranch w/ bonus room located in a quiet Gwinnett Co. neighborhood nestled next to Little Mulberry Park. Beautiful laminated hardwoods & vaulted ceilings complement the open-concept floor plan. Kitchen provides plenty of cabinet space, tile flooring & stainless steel appliances. Add'l features: New bath fixtures, NEWER ROOF , covered patio overlooking landscaped large garden area. Schools in the area: Mulberry ES, Dacula MS & HS, Countryside Montessori & Hebron Christian Academy.
-
2025-12-05$395,000 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Hard to find 4-bedroom ranch w/ bonus room located in a quiet Gwinnett Co. neighborhood nestled next to Little Mulberry Park. Beautiful laminated hardwoods & vaulted ceilings complement the open-concept floor plan. Kitchen provides plenty of cabinet space, tile flooring & stainless steel appliances. Add'l features: New bath fixtures, NEWER ROOF , covered patio overlooking landscaped large garden area. Schools in the area: Mulberry ES, Dacula MS & HS, Countryside Montessori & Hebron Christian Academy.
-
2025-04-22historical
-
2025-04-22historical
-
2025-03-20$395,000 New
-
2025-03-20$395,000 Active
-
2005-03-25soldstatus $384,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,830 · $486/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,830 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$5,830
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,539
- − Management
- −$2,539
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable loss
- −$14,563
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,495
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinnett County
- NCES district ID
- 1302550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,416
- Composite
- 36.5/100
- National rank
- #4648
- State rank
- #32 of 174 in GA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #4693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Barrow County · 133,377 people
- City population
- 21,624
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,624
- Household income
- $86,402
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 234.0
Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,106,028 people
- By 2030
- 1,211,414 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 1,422,277 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 1,623,204 · +46.8%
- By 2075
- 2,105,240 · +90.3%
- By 2100
- 2,443,321 · +120.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.30%
- Current HPI
- 212.2609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.47%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $389,995 FMLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $389,995 GAMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $395,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $395,000 GAMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $395,000 FMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $395,000 GAMLS
- 2005-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $384,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,830 · +53.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…