326 N Montague Ave · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1950
- Listed 414 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 415 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 415 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.35%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,104
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- 3.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 N Montague Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-1%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $127 | 84 |
| 210 St Johns St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-4%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $146 | 80 |
| 1802 Ellis St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,035 (-4%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $193 | 72 |
| 1619 Spaulding St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,087 (+1%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $118 | 66 |
| 1721 E Harris Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (+8%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $60 | 63 |
| 626 N Schroeder Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 958 (-11%) | 4mo | $109,000 | $114 | 56 |
| 1702 Ellis St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+8%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $126 | 53 |
| 1810 Ellis St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (+12%) | 8mo | $223,000 | $186 | 48 |
| 1722 La Follette St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+10%) | 6mo | $214,900 | $183 | 47 |
| 1718 La Follette St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+10%) | 5mo | $214,900 | $183 | 47 |
| 1518 Preusser St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $104 | 44 |
| 1516 E Harris Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+14%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,450
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $23,644
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76905
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,743/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 15 N Bell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,213 | $1.40 | 21d | 10 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-03-17historical
-
2026-03-17status Active
-
2026-01-22status Active
-
2026-01-14status Pending
-
2025-10-28price $149,000
-
2025-02-27$159,000 Active
-
2024-12-18status Active
-
2024-11-18status Active
-
2024-06-26price $164,900
-
2024-04-26$169,900 Active
-
2024-04-08status Active
-
2023-12-18$174,900 Active
-
2022-07-27soldstatus Closed
-
2022-07-27soldstatus
-
2022-07-19status Pending
-
2022-07-01$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,727 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- +$983/yr (+$82/mo · 56.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,954
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$1,743
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,596
- − Management
- −$1,596
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $1,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,456
- Household income
- $84,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.60%
- Current HPI
- 203.9934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+98.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-03-17 Delisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-03-17 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-01-14 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $149,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-02-27 Listed $159,000 SAAR TX
- 2024-12-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2024-11-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $164,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-04-26 Listed $169,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-04-08 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2023-12-18 Listed $174,900 SAAR TX
- 2022-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-07-27 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2022-07-19 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2022-07-01 Listed $75,000 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,743 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…