100 Pinecrest Dr #89 · Ruidoso, NM
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This FULLY FURNISHED, well-loved and maintained home is for sale in Cherokee Mobile Village. It offers 2-bedroom and 2-full bathrooms. Beautiful marble countertops, full size washer and dryer, linens, towels, dishes! Everything you see conveys with the sale. Enjoy the apple and pear trees when in bloom in the back! Buyer must pass a background and credit check prior to closing per the rules of the park. (Manufactured home for sale only, land will NOT convey) Space rent is $500 a month and includes cable tv, internet and water. Call for your showing today!
Key facts
- Marble countertops
- Apple and pear trees
- Built 1998
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Has view
- HOA & community: Clubhouse; Coin laundry; Private maintained road; Highway and private road frontage
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Cable connected; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home (single-story); One level
- Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Porch; Storage; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#40 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Ruidoso Municipal Schools (town): math 16% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 29 in NM (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 593 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.36%
- DSCR
- 4.09
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $20,899
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $57,381
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88345
- Active inventory
- 593
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Pippin St Ruidoso, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $55,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-03-24$55,000 Active 561-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$5,394
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,308
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,274
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This fully furnished home in Cherokee Mobile Village requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and flooring. It offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms and is move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Paint appears faded in some areas
- Minor Flooring — Carpet appears worn in some areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
- Both Flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Paint appears faded in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Carpet appears worn in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ruidoso Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502310
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 20.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,094
- Composite
- 31.68/100
- National rank
- #5925
- State rank
- #14 of 29 in NM
Livability — Ruidoso
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ruidoso, NM
- County
- Lincoln County · 7,835 people
- City population
- 7,835
- Metro
- Ruidoso, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,835
- Household income
- $53,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,903 people
- By 2030
- 15,556 · -8.0%
- By 2040
- 13,064 · -22.7%
- By 2050
- 10,991 · -35.0%
- By 2075
- 7,619 · -54.9%
- By 2100
- 5,966 · -64.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Native American 1% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Danish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.5) · D 29.8% · R 68.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.5 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+32.7 2008: R+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.17%
- Current HPI
- 141.9549
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ruidoso, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — RLCAR
- 2026-03-24 Listed $55,000 RLCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…