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4115 Busbee Rd
C Composite 56.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

4115 Busbee Rd · Robbins, NC 27341
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1927 4.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

Key facts

  • Pond
  • Mobile home
  • Travel trailer

Tags

4.029 ACRE PROPERTYPOND150 FEET CHICKEN HOUSEMOBILE HOMETRAVEL TRAILER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (1.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#270 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.43%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,680
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4115 Busbee Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,080 (0%) 0mo $90,000 $83 100
4083 Busbee Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+11%) 12mo $235,000 $196 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-3,721
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$12,674
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27341

Home prices YoY
-10.8%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $236/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $741
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2025-10-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

  2. 2025-10-09
    status Pending 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

  3. 2025-09-09
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

  4. 2025-09-09
    status Active 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

  5. 2025-08-04
    status Pending
  6. 2025-07-31
    status Pending 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

  7. 2025-07-17
    listed $99,900 Active
  8. 2025-07-16
    listed $99,900 Active 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    The possibilities are endless with this 4.029 acre property in the Pottery Capital of the World!! This amazing homestead features country living at its finest. The 2 bedroom 1 bath farmhouse was built in 1927. The home will need some work. The property has a pond, numerous buildings, and also features a 150 feet chicken house that needs work to get back operational. There is also a mobile home and travel trailer on the property that can be lived in also. Make your appointment to see this house and make it yours today before it is too late!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$236 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$583/yr (+$49/mo · 247.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,874
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$236
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$950
− Management
−$950
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$177
After-tax cash flow
$2,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moore County Schools
NCES district ID
3703090
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,333
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2967
State rank
#58 of 178 in NC

Livability — Robbins

Score
66/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#11758

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,201

Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
106,902 people
By 2030
113,134 · +5.8%
By 2040
125,682 · +17.6%
By 2050
137,811 · +28.9%
By 2075
164,387 · +53.8%
By 2100
175,595 · +64.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Moore

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.21%
Current HPI
233.0423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-09 Pending TMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Relisted TMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Pending TMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $99,900 TMLS
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $99,900 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $236 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…