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2326 Sunset Ln
F Composite 34.69
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2326 Sunset Ln · Madison, MI 49221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1951 0.48 ac lot Est $187k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the desirable Airport Subdivision--a neighborhood known for its convenience and welcoming community feel. With 1,080 sq. ft. of well designed living space, this home offers comfort, functionality, and room to grow. Sitting on a large, partially fenced lot, the property provides the perfect blend of privacy and outdoor potential. Whether you're dreaming of a garden, a play area, or space for pets to roam, this yard delivers. Inside, the layout offers bright living spaces, comfortable bedrooms, and a cozy atmosphere ready for your personal touch. This home is ideal for first time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a solid property in a great location. Don't miss your chance to make this Airport Subdivision gem your own.

Key facts

  • Partially fenced lot
  • Large yard
  • Bright living spaces

Tags

PARTIALLY FENCED LOTLARGE YARDBRIGHT LIVING SPACESCOMFORTABLE BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Built in 1951
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built in 1951
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 12 x 9); Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approx. 16 x 12); Bedroom 2 (approx. 13 x 9); Bedroom 3 (approx. 12 x 7)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (approx. 9 x 9)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; Full basement; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Adrian School District (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #370 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Prairie Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 224 students, 80% FRL); Springbrook Middle School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #303 of 493 statewide, top 62%, 641 students, 71% FRL); Adrian High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 781 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $187,690 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.33%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2281 Fairview Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,090 (+1%) 5mo $192,000 $176 82
2285 Fairview Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,145 (+6%) 14mo $177,400 $155 64
2725 Sharon Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+7%) 9mo $220,000 $191 59
437 Oden Way 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-7%) 1mo $162,000 $162 55
1227 Sherman St 0.46mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,178 (+9%) 7mo $140,000 $119 53
2894 Park Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 10mo $220,000 $218 51
1840 Taylor Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+10%) 4mo $210,000 $177 51
2741 Sharon Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 920 (-15%) 5mo $158,000 $172 48
1902 Cadmus Rd 0.70mi 3/1.0 960 (-11%) 6mo $168,000 $175 44
421 S Madison St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,201 (+11%) 7mo $192,000 $160 42
1062 Petoskey Ct 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,041 (-4%) 17mo $180,000 $173 42
1103 Petoskey Ct 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,198 (+11%) 10mo $180,000 $150 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-28,749
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-15,359
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49221

Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,039/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,722
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $250 -5% $186 +0% $122 +5% $59 +10% $-5
Rent -10% $-26 -5% $48 +0% $122 +5% $197 +10% $271
Rate -1.0pp $236 -0.5pp $180 base $122 +0.5pp $64 +1.0pp $5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1962 W Cadmus Rd Adrian, MI 3.0 2.0 1170 $2,250 $1.92 23d 1 0.72mi
174 Sand Creek Hwy Adrian, MI 2.0 2.0 986 $1,150 $1.17 45d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,039 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$1,213/yr (+$101/mo · 116.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,523
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,039
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$2,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$575
After-tax cash flow
$2,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Adrian School District
NCES district ID
2601950
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$41,288
Composite
25.33/100
National rank
#7480
State rank
#370 of 540 in MI

Livability — Madison

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
41,041

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.64%
Current HPI
237.3796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,039 · -40.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…