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1315 Linden St
C- Composite 54.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$224,900

1315 Linden St · Muskegon, MI 49445
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1966 0.29 ac lot $197/sqft · at area comps Est $233k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Convenient snack bar
  • Full basement

Tags

SPACIOUS NEARLY 0.3-ACRE LOTAMPLE CABINET SPACECONVENIENT SNACK BARFULL BASEMENTCOZY FIREPLACELARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Built in 1966
  • Construction: Stone and wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.29 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Open, functional kitchen with ample cabinet space
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (11 x 12); Bedroom 2 (10 x 11); Bedroom 3 (9 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Spacious living area with natural light; Functional layout with ample cabinet space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($861/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (12.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Reeths-Puffer Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #254 of 540 in MI (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $197,500 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.37%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$233,271
List price
$224,900
Delta
-3.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1279 Poulson Rd 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,162 (+2%) 12mo $250,000 $215 82
1345 Poulson Rd 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-12%) 3mo $245,000 $243 68
1489 Joslyn Rd 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-8%) 9mo $224,755 $213 66
1093 E Giles Rd 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,068 (-7%) 1mo $250,000 $234 49
1559 N Getty St 0.43mi 3/1.0 984 (-14%) 19mo $200,500 $204 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$127,044
Equity at exit
$202,608
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
6.88×
Total profit
$370,511
Equity at exit
$436,931

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49445

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,585/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,884
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1990 Pappas Rd Muskegon, MI 3.0 2.0 1468 $1,975 $1.35 20d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    price $224,900 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

  2. 2026-05-14
    price $224,900 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

  3. 2026-05-14
    price $224,900
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

  4. 2026-05-07
    listed $239,900 Active 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

  5. 2026-05-07
    listed $239,900 Active 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

  6. 2026-05-07
    listed $239,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch in Reeths-Puffer School District! Situated on a spacious nearly 0.3-acre lot, this home offers over 1,100 sq ft of main-level living with a functional layout and great natural light throughout. The kitchen features ample cabinet space and a convenient snack bar opening into the main living area. Downstairs, the full basement provides additional living space potential with a cozy fireplace and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large backyard with mature trees--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Attached 2-stall garage. A solid home with great bones, ready for your personal touch!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,585 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,024 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$439/yr (+$37/mo · 17.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,700
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,585
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$2,942
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$706
After-tax cash flow
$1,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reeths-Puffer Schools
NCES district ID
2629540
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,223
Composite
31.62/100
National rank
#5942
State rank
#254 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

Score
79/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
44,766
Population (ZIP)
21,090

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.82%
Current HPI
605.31
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $224,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $224,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $224,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $239,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $239,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $239,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,585 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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