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4 Kansas Rd
D Composite 40.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,000

4 Kansas Rd · Spring, PA 17040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Manufactured public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1986 1.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!

Key facts

  • Hot tub room
  • 1.55 acre lot
  • Patio

Tags

1.55 ACRE LOT50 X 24 POLE BUILDING GARAGEALL SEASON SUNROOMPATIO1-1/2 CAR GARAGE ADDITIONHOT TUB ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage has oversized dimensions and a garage door opener; Driveway with space for 4 vehicles; Total of 6 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private well and private sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Oil heating; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Above-grade living space; Not located in a federal flood zone
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite and metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Manufactured structure type; Built as a double wide (year built per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Level and sloping areas; Rear yard; Patio(s) with roof; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (including 2 full on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil-fired); Central air conditioning; Circuit breaker electrical service; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Tub shower; Ceiling fan(s); Combination dining and living area; Entry-level bedroom; Traditional floor plan; Water treatment system; Master bath(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry with hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (11.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (24.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Perry SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $149k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $113,075 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.88%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,625
Equity at exit
$58,543
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$32,167
Equity at exit
$84,128

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17040

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,799/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,257
Max offer price $131,327
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $149,000 Active
  17. 2005-04-11
    soldstatus $80,000
  18. 2005-04-05
    soldstatus $80,000 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!

  19. 2005-02-23
    listed $82,000 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!

  20. 2005-02-23
    historical 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,799 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,076 · $173/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,569
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,799
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,086
− Management
−$1,086
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$3,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$918
After-tax cash flow
$-282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Perry SD
NCES district ID
4225740
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$55,647
Composite
41.99/100
National rank
#3338
State rank
#189 of 539 in PA

Livability — Spring

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,494

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,250 people
By 2030
42,862 · -3.1%
By 2040
39,574 · -10.6%
By 2050
36,001 · -18.6%
By 2075
27,991 · -36.7%
By 2100
20,936 · -52.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.8% · R 74.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -49.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.3 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.97%
Current HPI
160.2781
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-05 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-02-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-02-23 Listed $82,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,799 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…