4 Kansas Rd · Spring, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!
Key facts
- Hot tub room
- 1.55 acre lot
- Patio
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage has oversized dimensions and a garage door opener; Driveway with space for 4 vehicles; Total of 6 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Private well and private sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Oil heating; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Above-grade living space; Not located in a federal flood zone
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite and metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Manufactured structure type; Built as a double wide (year built per assessor)
- Exterior features: Front yard; Level and sloping areas; Rear yard; Patio(s) with roof; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (including 2 full on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil-fired); Central air conditioning; Circuit breaker electrical service; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Tub shower; Ceiling fan(s); Combination dining and living area; Entry-level bedroom; Traditional floor plan; Water treatment system; Master bath(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry with hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (11.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Perry SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $149k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.88%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,625
- Equity at exit
- $58,543
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $32,167
- Equity at exit
- $84,128
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17040
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,799/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$149,000 Active
-
2005-04-11soldstatus $80,000
-
2005-04-05soldstatus $80,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!
-
2005-02-23$82,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!
-
2005-02-23historical 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Location! Location! Location! Great little double-wide in fine condition just: 2 mins from schools, 4 mins from deli/convenience store, and 20 minutes from Carlisle shopping. Nicely landscaped prop w/ 1 car paved carport, huge back yard, small storage shed, and a tremendous view of Shermans Valley. This will sell quickly. Act now - don't get left out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,799 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,076 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$278/yr (+$23/mo · 15.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$1,799
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$3,826
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$918
- After-tax cash flow
- $-282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Perry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225740
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,647
- Composite
- 41.99/100
- National rank
- #3338
- State rank
- #189 of 539 in PA
Livability — Spring
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,494
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,250 people
- By 2030
- 42,862 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 39,574 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 36,001 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 27,991 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 20,936 · -52.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.8% · R 74.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -49.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.3 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.97%
- Current HPI
- 160.2781
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+81.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-05 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-02-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-02-23 Listed $82,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,799 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…