1172 Milford St · Johnstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Walk up attic
- First floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $97k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.82%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,583
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- 28.34%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Winton St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,580 (+2%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $76 | 66 |
| 111 Ross | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-3%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $83 | 64 |
| 1087 Mckinley Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,733 (+11%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $26 | 58 |
| 1138 Shaffer St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-13%) | 6mo | $113,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 501 Edward St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,526 (-2%) | 7mo | $156,000 | $102 | 54 |
| 301 Southmont Blvd | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,754 (+13%) | 9mo | $72,000 | $41 | 51 |
| 503 Christine Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-6%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $69 | 49 |
| 145 Plainfield Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,739 (+12%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $74 | 46 |
| 182 Watson St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,337 (-14%) | 7mo | $114,000 | $85 | 46 |
| 427 Swank St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (+14%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $93 | 45 |
| 1453 Franklin St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (-10%) | 8mo | $76,500 | $55 | 44 |
| 438 Southmont Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-14%) | 8mo | $123,500 | $92 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,569
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $16,829
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15905
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,079 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $969/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129-131 Plainfield Ave Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $850 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 619 Grove Ave Johnstown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 412 Oak St Unit 1 Johnstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 522 Vickroy Ave Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $850 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 550 Ferndale Ave Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 906 Lemon St Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $750 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 108 Dell St Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $1,749 | $0.78 | 7d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 108 Dell St Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $1,749 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 553 Vickroy Ave #555 Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $985 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 212-214 Palliser St Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $97,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $97,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $97,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $97,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $97,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $97,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $97,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $97,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-05-02status Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2026-04-22status Pending 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2026-04-01price $102,500 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2026-01-29price $107,000 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2025-12-03price $112,500 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2025-11-11price $115,000 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
-
2025-10-13$119,000 Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming and move-in ready two-story home in the 8th Ward of Johnstown! This vinyl-sided home offers three full bedrooms and a convenient location near hospitals, restaurants, Roxbury Park, and more. Enjoy the updated eat-in kitchen with oak cabinets. The first-floor laundry includes shelving and a closet for added convenience. All appliances included! Freshly painted and professionally cleaned, this home is move-in ready and features newer wall-to-wall carpeting throughout and an updated full bath. The home has efficient gas hot water heat with a routinely-maintained boiler. Outside, relax on the covered front porch or rear covered patio. The walk-up attic and detached two-car garage add extra storage! Call for a tour today!
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2025-10-02historical $925
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2025-09-19$925
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2025-09-19historical $925
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2025-09-18$925
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2025-02-11historical $925
-
2025-01-16$925
-
2024-12-24historical $925
-
2024-12-13$925
-
2024-12-13historical $925
-
2024-12-10$925
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2024-05-29historical $875
-
2024-03-23$875
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2019-12-02soldstatus $40,000
-
2018-07-01$55,500
-
2009-03-26soldstatus $67,000
-
2009-03-05soldstatus $67,000
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2008-06-24$69,900
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2005-12-16soldstatus $62,000
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2005-12-12soldstatus $63,000
-
2005-10-22$69,000
-
1979-01-01soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,251 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$282/yr (+$24/mo · 29.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$969
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $1,163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Johnstown SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210950
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,890
- Composite
- 13.25/100
- National rank
- #9550
- State rank
- #509 of 539 in PA
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #3168
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, PA
- County
- Cambria County · 30,791 people
- City population
- 30,791
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,329
- Household income
- $69,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 359.0
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.18%
- Current HPI
- 142.5218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+1608.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $102,500 CSMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $107,000 CSMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $112,500 CSMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $115,000 CSMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $119,000 CSMLS
- 2025-10-02 Rental Removed $925 CSMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed for Rent $925 CSMLS
- 2025-09-19 Rental Removed $925 APPFOLIO
- 2025-09-18 Listed for Rent $925 APPFOLIO
- 2025-02-11 Rental Removed $925 CSMLS
- 2025-01-16 Listed for Rent $925 CSMLS
- 2024-12-24 Rental Removed $925 CSMLS
- 2024-12-13 Listed for Rent $925 CSMLS
- 2024-12-13 Rental Removed $925 APPFOLIO
- 2024-12-10 Listed for Rent $925 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-29 Rental Removed $875 CSMLS
- 2024-03-23 Listed for Rent $875 CSMLS
- 2019-12-02 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CSMLS
- 2018-07-01 Listed $55,500 CSMLS
- 2009-03-26 Sold (MLS) $67,000 CSMLS
- 2009-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-24 Listed $69,900 CSMLS
- 2005-12-16 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CSMLS
- 2005-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-22 Listed $69,000 CSMLS
- 1979-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2026): $969 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…