🏷️ Likely Rental
204 Jackson St · Fulton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
great investment property, there is a tenant and showing after 3:00 Pm
Key facts
- Listed 121 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Flooring: See remarks
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: One fireplace; Flooring: see remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 5.4% in Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#204 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Fulton Independent (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #170 of 173 in KY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $477 of equity ($380 loan paydown + $97 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.68%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,588
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Vine St | 0.06mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-7%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $21 | 74 |
| 304 Eddings St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+0%) | 7mo | $139,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 110 E Collinwood St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,558 (+0%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $103 | 49 |
| 317 Holmes St. St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-13%) | 2mo | $98,650 | $73 | 47 |
| 410 Holmes St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,652 (+6%) | 23mo | $85,000 | $51 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $34,573
- Equity at exit
- $16,459
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.45×
- Total profit
- $83,892
- Equity at exit
- $20,178
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42041
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $55,000
-
2026-02-17$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,289
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,222
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2102070
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,755
- Composite
- 27.09/100
- National rank
- #12479
- State rank
- #170 of 173 in KY
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #10052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,584
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,425 people
- By 2030
- 5,042 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 4,456 · -17.9%
- By 2050
- 4,120 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 4,003 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 4,258 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 18% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.18%
- Current HPI
- 174.9435
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-17 Listed $59,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…