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204 Jackson St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$55,000

204 Jackson St · Fulton, KY 42041
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,556 sqft · SingleFamily · 121 Days on market
↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

great investment property, there is a tenant and showing after 3:00 Pm

Key facts

  • Listed 121 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Yard shed(s)

Interior

  • Flooring: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Flooring: see remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $55,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$113,588) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 5.4% in Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#204 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Fulton Independent (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #170 of 173 in KY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $477 of equity ($380 loan paydown + $97 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
18.52%
Cash-on-cash
43.68%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,588
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
803 Vine St 0.06mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,452 (-7%) 9mo $30,000 $21 74
304 Eddings St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+0%) 7mo $139,000 $89 59
110 E Collinwood St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,558 (+0%) 19mo $160,000 $103 49
317 Holmes St. St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,348 (-13%) 2mo $98,650 $73 47
410 Holmes St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,652 (+6%) 23mo $85,000 $51 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$34,573
Equity at exit
$16,459
10-year hold
IRR
47.8%
Equity multiple
6.45×
Total profit
$83,892
Equity at exit
$20,178

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42041

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$561

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 106 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 105 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $55,000
  17. 2026-02-17
    listed $59,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,289
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,493
After-tax cash flow
$5,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton Independent
NCES district ID
2102070
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$29,755
Composite
27.09/100
National rank
#12479
State rank
#170 of 173 in KY

Livability — Fulton

Score
68/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#10052

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulton, KY
Population (ZIP)
4,584

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,425 people
By 2030
5,042 · -7.1%
By 2040
4,456 · -17.9%
By 2050
4,120 · -24.1%
By 2075
4,003 · -26.2%
By 2100
4,258 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 18% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.18%
Current HPI
174.9435
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $59,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…