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510 John St
B Composite 73.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

510 John St · Galion, OH 44833
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,338 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1930 0.26 ac lot $75/sqft · 39% below area Est $165k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid investment vibes! Spectacular opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity on nearly a quarter acre lot! Recent updates include a new gas water heater, toilet, and plumbing improvements completed just two years ago. Whether you're looking to generate rental income or renovate into a comfortable single-family home, this property offers strong potential with key updates already in place. This property also features a 16x20 detached one-car garage offering excellent storage or workspace potential. Bring your vision and make it your own!

Key facts

  • New gas water heater
  • Quarter acre lot
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

QUARTER ACRE LOTNEW GAS WATER HEATERPLUMBING IMPROVEMENTSDETACHED ONE CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.8% in Galion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#833 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Galion City (town): math 36% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #499 of 656 in OH (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $100k implies a 284% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.56%
Cash-on-cash
15.26%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$164,521
List price
$99,900
Delta
-39.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
424 John St 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,294 (-3%) 4mo $20,690 $16 84
817 Crew Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,360 (+2%) 12mo $140,000 $103 68
337 Grove Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,494 (+12%) 0mo $118,000 $79 61
522 Grand St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,222 (-9%) 13mo $137,000 $112 58
763 Sunnyside Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,156 (-14%) 11mo $199,000 $172 55
748 South Boston St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,476 (+10%) 12mo $120,000 $81 55
341 Grove Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,536 (+15%) 7mo $67,500 $44 48
143 Wilson St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,510 (+13%) 12mo $51,000 $34 47
908 S Market St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,156 (-14%) 0mo $85,000 $74 46
359 S Market St 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (+12%) 1mo $112,700 $75 45
229 E Parson St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,182 (-12%) 3mo $48,500 $41 41
947 S Market St 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,496 (+12%) 12mo $249,900 $167 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$6,447
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$34,719
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44833

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,254 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $831/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $803
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-02-13
    listed $99,900 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Solid investment vibes! Spectacular opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity on nearly a quarter acre lot! Recent updates include a new gas water heater, toilet, and plumbing improvements completed just two years ago. Whether you're looking to generate rental income or renovate into a comfortable single-family home, this property offers strong potential with key updates already in place. This property also features a 16x20 detached one-car garage offering excellent storage or workspace potential. Bring your vision and make it your own!

  16. 2026-02-13
    listed $99,900 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Solid investment vibes! Spectacular opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity on nearly a quarter acre lot! Recent updates include a new gas water heater, toilet, and plumbing improvements completed just two years ago. Whether you're looking to generate rental income or renovate into a comfortable single-family home, this property offers strong potential with key updates already in place. This property also features a 16x20 detached one-car garage offering excellent storage or workspace potential. Bring your vision and make it your own!

  17. 2024-04-17
    soldstatus $26,000 Closed
  18. 2024-03-12
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$831 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$364/yr (+$30/mo · 43.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,044
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$831
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$673
After-tax cash flow
$3,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galion City
NCES district ID
3904402
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,331
Composite
38.08/100
National rank
#4279
State rank
#499 of 656 in OH

Livability — Galion

Score
63/100
State rank
#833
US rank
#15587

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galion, OH
County
Morrow · 41,908 people
City population
16,641
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,641
Household income
$57,234
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
3.8

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,421 people
By 2030
37,656 · -4.5%
By 2040
34,043 · -13.6%
By 2050
30,617 · -22.3%
By 2075
23,652 · -40.0%
By 2100
17,786 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.0) · D 23.1% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-33.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -53.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.0 2020: R+50.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.57%
Current HPI
218.195
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $99,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $99,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-03-12 Listed $39,900 MARMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $831 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…