🌊 Lakefront
14161 Carly Pines Ct · Grangerland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 14161 Carly Pines Court, where modern comfort meets serene lakefront living. This beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a bright, open-concept layout and a spacious living area filled with natural light.Throughout the home you’ll find generously sized rooms, including a private primary suite with plenty of space to unwind. Additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, home office, or growing households. The real showstopper? The backyard. Enjoy peaceful lakefront views with direct access through your private gate. perfect for morning walks, relaxing evenings, or simply taking in the scenery right from your own yard. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this home combines comfort, style, and a rare waterfront lifestyle opportunity. Park, splash pad and schools within this masterpanned community are additional amenities avaiable.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Lakefront views
- Private gate
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Conroe ISD (other): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #69 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Milam El (math 49% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 524 students, 82% FRL); Moorhead J H (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 1,391 students, 82% FRL); Conroe H S (math 32% / reading 51%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 4,915 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 34% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 57% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Conroe ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 1117 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.72%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $374,686
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -29.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14154 Granger Pointe | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 2,255 (+1%) | 1mo | $269,540 | $120 | 76 |
| 16812 Needlepoint Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,026 (-9%) | 1mo | $269,765 | $133 | 64 |
| 14300 Ash Tree Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,447 (+10%) | 1mo | $324,900 | $133 | 64 |
| 16827 Country Roots Ave | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,173 (-3%) | 2mo | $306,990 | $141 | 62 |
| 15611 Country Charm Trl | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,084 (-7%) | 1mo | $322,258 | $155 | 61 |
| 14337 Ash Tree Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,447 (+10%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $131 | 60 |
| 14305 Grey Pointe | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 1,981 (-11%) | 1mo | $269,790 | $136 | 58 |
| 16767 Country Roots Ave | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,034 (-9%) | 0mo | $310,990 | $153 | 58 |
| 14143 Granger Pointe Ln | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 1,981 (-11%) | 2mo | $252,790 | $128 | 56 |
| 14308 Grey Pointe Ct | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 1,981 (-11%) | 2mo | $264,640 | $134 | 56 |
| 16763 Country Roots Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,561 (+15%) | 0mo | $336,990 | $132 | 51 |
| 16823 Country Roots Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,561 (+15%) | 2mo | $326,990 | $128 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-52,559
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-55,039
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77302
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 1117
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,645 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$704 /mo · $8,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-18 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-377 | -5% $-273 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-64 | +10% $41 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-35 | -0.5pp $-101 | base $-168 | +0.5pp $-237 | +1.0pp $-307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16703 Twisted Pine Dr Conroe, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1671 | $2,230 | $1.33 | 0d | 13 | 0.32mi |
| 15271 Country West Dr Conroe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,350 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $265,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $265,000 874-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Welcome to 14161 Carly Pines Court, where modern comfort meets serene lakefront living. This beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a bright, open-concept layout and a spacious living area filled with natural light.Throughout the home you’ll find generously sized rooms, including a private primary suite with plenty of space to unwind. Additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, home office, or growing households. The real showstopper? The backyard. Enjoy peaceful lakefront views with direct access through your private gate. perfect for morning walks, relaxing evenings, or simply taking in the scenery right from your own yard. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this home combines comfort, style, and a rare waterfront lifestyle opportunity. Park, splash pad and schools within this masterpanned community are additional amenities avaiable.
-
2026-04-14$270,000 Active 874-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Welcome to 14161 Carly Pines Court, where modern comfort meets serene lakefront living. This beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a bright, open-concept layout and a spacious living area filled with natural light.Throughout the home you’ll find generously sized rooms, including a private primary suite with plenty of space to unwind. Additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, home office, or growing households. The real showstopper? The backyard. Enjoy peaceful lakefront views with direct access through your private gate. perfect for morning walks, relaxing evenings, or simply taking in the scenery right from your own yard. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this home combines comfort, style, and a rare waterfront lifestyle opportunity. Park, splash pad and schools within this masterpanned community are additional amenities avaiable.
-
2022-04-18soldstatus Sold 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
-
2022-03-08status Pending, Continue to Show 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
-
2022-03-07price $282,990 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
-
2022-02-21price $280,990 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
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2022-01-24price $278,990 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
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2021-12-31price $273,990 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
-
2021-12-01price $271,990 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
-
2021-10-14$269,990 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
NEW D. R. HORTON BUILT 4 BEDROOM! Wonderful Open Concept Interior Layout! Gourmet Island Kitchen with Large Pantry - Open to Spacious Dining Area & Family Room! Privately Located First Floor Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Enormous Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Indoor Utility Room! Large Gameroom/Media Room! Big Secondary Bedroom Sizes! Covered Back Patio! Home Automation System! Great Community with SplashPad, Six Acre Lake, Pocket Parks, Trails, Pavilion, & 11 Acre Park! Lots of Preserved Open Space, Natural Creeks, & Walking Trails! Elementary School in Subdivision! MUST SEE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,445 · $704/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,445 · $704/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$8,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,539
- − Management
- −$2,539
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$6,310
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,514
- After-tax cash flow
- $-506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, modern home with a lake view and private gate offers a good investment opportunity with minor cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
- Rental Replace carpet in bedrooms — Carpet can be worn and may need replacement for a more modern look and easier maintenance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Rental Replace carpet in bedrooms — Carpet can be worn and may need replacement for a more modern look and easier maintenance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conroe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815000
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,541
- Composite
- 50.65/100
- National rank
- #1833
- State rank
- #69 of 826 in TX
Livability — Grangerland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,546
- Household income
- $84,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 205.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 19% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.56%
- Current HPI
- 262.1879
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-1.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $265,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $270,000 HARMLS
- 2022-04-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-03-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-03-07 Price Changed $282,990 HARMLS
- 2022-02-21 Price Changed $280,990 HARMLS
- 2022-01-24 Price Changed $278,990 HARMLS
- 2021-12-31 Price Changed $273,990 HARMLS
- 2021-12-01 Price Changed $271,990 HARMLS
- 2021-10-14 Listed $269,990 HARMLS
Property tax history
+44.6%/yrLatest (2025): $8,445 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…