60 Saxton Cir · Citrus Heights, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 36 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to Stonegate, a desirable 55+ senior community offering comfort, convenience, and an active lifestyle! This well-maintained 2005 manufactured home features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,120 sq. ft. of inviting living space with LVP flooring, soaring ceilings, and abundant natural light throughout. The open-concept living and dining areas create a warm and welcoming atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining, and flow seamlessly into the spacious kitchen, complete with a convenient sit-at bar, ample cabinetry, and a newer refrigerator included in the sale. Both bedrooms are generously sized and feature ceiling fans, while the spacious primary suite offers a large walk-in c
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Spacious kitchen
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Postal code 95621; Directions available to property at 60 Saxton Cir, Citrus Heights, CA
- Financial info: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount $1,000)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Gas plumbed; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; 220 volts in laundry
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double wide; Built in 2005; Located on a corner (Saxton & Hanover); Senior community
- Construction: Skirting: Wood; Manufactured by The Andrew Karsten Co Inc
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted living room with attached deck; Covered deck with rail and porch steps; Dining bar and dining/living combo; Synthetic kitchen countertops; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.4% in Citrus Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#614 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- San Juan Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #138 of 517 in CA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.31%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,920
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 Sage St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,060 (-5%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $85 | 85 |
| 190 Saxton Cir #190 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,154 (+3%) | 11mo | $137,500 | $119 | 82 |
| 42 Saxton Cir | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 10mo | $126,000 | $121 | 75 |
| 77 Cambria Cir | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+6%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $59 | 73 |
| 149 Chabot | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 19mo | $62,000 | $52 | 67 |
| 29 Hanover St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 954 (-15%) | 10mo | $87,000 | $91 | 65 |
| 22 Hanover St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 23mo | $100,000 | $83 | 64 |
| 150 Sage St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 15mo | $89,999 | $94 | 59 |
| 114 Cambria | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 23 Hanover St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 24mo | $112,000 | $117 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $28,630
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $80,769
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95621
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $993/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $786
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7434 Auburn Oaks Ct Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,975 | $2.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7434 Auburn Oaks Ct Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 23d | 4 | 0.33mi |
| 7445 Auburn Oaks Ct Unit K Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,695 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7445 Auburn Oaks Ct Unit K Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6841 Castleberry Cir Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $2,300 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1000 Cirby Oaks Way Roseville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,955 | $2.79 | 1d | 2 | 0.72mi |
| 7603 Linden Ave Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7437 Antelope Rd Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 333 Cirby Way Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $2,115 | $2.66 | 1d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 425 Cirby Way Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 812 | $2,274 | $2.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7915 Zenith Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,895 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3 Somer Ridge Dr Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $2,270 | $2.50 | 1d | 6 | 1.04mi |
| 7658 Poppy Way Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,785 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7658 Poppy Way Unit 7658 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7827 Zenith Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 209 Live Oak Cir Roseville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7727 Mariposa Ave Unit 5 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,795 | $2.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7761 Pompei Ct Unit 7763 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,705 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6413 Tupelo Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,000 | $2.58 | 1d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 308 6th St Unit B Roseville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,200 | $2.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7541 Ramona Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $2,295 | $2.74 | 2d | 9 | 1.36mi |
| 348 B St Roseville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8237 Sunrise Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,095 | $2.00 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 210 D St Roseville, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1433 | $2,795 | $1.95 | 1d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$119,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$993
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $7,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Juan Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634620
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,655
- Composite
- 44.07/100
- National rank
- #2878
- State rank
- #138 of 517 in CA
Livability — Citrus Heights
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #614
- US rank
- #19580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Heights, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 89,370
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,442
- Household income
- $80,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1854.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.14%
- Current HPI
- 351.9333
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $993 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…