5704 Chaucer Ln · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large well maintained 2 story home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths ( 1 bedroom and bath down). Formal living room which could be used as an office. huge den with fireplace nice sized kitchen/dining combo with breakfast bar. This home has room for the whole family. Lots of new updates have been done within the last year.
Key facts
- Listed 111 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $130k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.60%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,439
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -6.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5203 Keats Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,231 (+4%) | 21mo | $131,250 | $59 | 63 |
| 5401 Dreher Rd | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,026 (-6%) | 10mo | $65,100 | $32 | 60 |
| 6105 Denham Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,228 (+3%) | 12mo | $131,500 | $59 | 51 |
| 8601 Dreher Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,045 (-5%) | 23mo | $101,650 | $50 | 50 |
| 8512 Dreher Ln | 0.32mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,452 (+14%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $43 | 38 |
| 8801 Verbena Dr | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,853 (-14%) | 23mo | $96,000 | $52 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,131
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $39,766
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72209
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4013 Wooddale Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,395 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7212 Fairfield Dr Little Rock, AR | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $1,700 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7409 Skylark Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1549 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6120 Butler Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1447 | $1,050 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-02-27$130,000 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Large well maintained 2 story home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths ( 1 bedroom and bath down). Formal living room which could be used as an office. huge den with fireplace nice sized kitchen/dining combo with breakfast bar. This home has room for the whole family. Lots of new updates have been done within the last year.
-
2017-05-11soldstatus $70,000
-
2015-08-29historical
-
2015-06-03$85,000 Active
-
2015-01-27historical
-
2014-07-27$99,500
-
2014-07-01historical
-
2013-08-06$70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,424 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,424 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$449
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,607
- Household income
- $40,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1510.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.75%
- Current HPI
- 176.4492
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+85.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $130,000 EARA
- 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-29 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
- 2015-01-27 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2014-07-27 Listed $99,500 CARMLS
- 2014-07-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2013-08-06 Listed $70,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,424 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…