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221 E Center St
B Composite 74.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

221 E Center St · Canton, MS 39046
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1930 0.29 ac lot $87/sqft · 49% below area Est $272k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property includes multiple bedrooms and bathrooms, with defined living spaces and a kitchen area. The layout supports a range of residential uses and includes outdoor yard space. Situated within the city, the location offers access to local roadways, shopping, and community amenities. The property is being sold AS-IS and may appeal to buyers considering a primary residence or investment. Property is under court-ordered receivership; a copy of the order is available.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.2% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#229 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Public School District (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #100 of 130 in MS (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
15.01%
Cash-on-cash
31.14%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$271,936
List price
$139,000
Delta
-48.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
351 E Academy St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,692 (+6%) 12mo $149,000 $88 61
236 Hemimgway Cir 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,506 (-6%) 23mo $272,900 $181 52
228 E Dinkins St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,644 (+2%) 8mo $160,000 $97 50
409 E Fulton St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,713 (+7%) 23mo $189,000 $110 48
201 E Semmes St 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (-4%) 24mo $140,000 $91 45
3472 N Liberty St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (+4%) 20mo $49,900 $30 42
383 Frost St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,461 (-9%) 4mo $44,900 $31 40
508 Lyon St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,417 (-12%) 16mo $185,000 $131 36
365 S Walnut St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,416 (-12%) 4mo $49,900 $35 35
453 Washington St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,760 (+10%) 22mo $39,900 $23 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$41,795
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$119,189
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39046

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,190/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$1,010

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Rotherfield PL Canton, MS 3.0 2.0 1565 $2,400 $1.53 13d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $139,000 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    This property includes multiple bedrooms and bathrooms, with defined living spaces and a kitchen area. The layout supports a range of residential uses and includes outdoor yard space. Situated within the city, the location offers access to local roadways, shopping, and community amenities. The property is being sold AS-IS and may appeal to buyers considering a primary residence or investment. Property is under court-ordered receivership; a copy of the order is available.

  18. 2026-03-23
    historical
  19. 2026-03-04
    price $139,000
  20. 2026-01-19
    price $145,000
  21. 2025-12-01
    listed $150,000 Active
  22. 2019-03-18
    soldstatus
  23. 2018-11-29
    listed $102,000
  24. 2014-07-18
    historical
  25. 2013-09-26
    listed $102,000
  26. 2012-12-13
    listed $12,900
  27. 2012-12-12
    historical
  28. 2012-10-13
    listed $12,900
  29. 2006-05-08
    soldstatus
  30. 2003-02-10
    soldstatus
  31. 1996-11-26
    soldstatus
  32. 1996-11-04
    soldstatus
  33. 1996-10-25
    soldstatus
  34. 1986-10-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,190 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,190 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,190
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$10,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,515
After-tax cash flow
$9,606/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Public School District
NCES district ID
2800900
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,130
Composite
13.44/100
National rank
#9523
State rank
#100 of 130 in MS

Livability — Canton

Score
60/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#19396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, MS
City population
29,160
Population (ZIP)
29,160

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.50%
Current HPI
154.0441
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+977.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $139,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $139,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $145,000 MLSU
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $150,000 MLSU
  • 2019-03-18 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2018-11-29 Listed $102,000 MLSU
  • 2014-07-18 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2013-09-26 Listed $102,000 MLSU
  • 2012-12-13 Listed $12,900 MLSU
  • 2012-12-12 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2012-10-13 Listed $12,900 MLSU
  • 2006-05-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-11-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-11-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-10-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,190 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…