627 W 6th St · Baxter Springs, KS 66713

$19,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 757 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market

Built 1925 5,200 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Selling as-is
• 5,200 sq ft lot
• Built 1925

Tags

• SELLING AS-IS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($649 rent vs $20k).
• Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#63 in KS, #3,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
• Baxter Springs (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #64 of 169 in KS (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 17 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cherokee County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $19,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 85.29%
• DSCR: 4.79
• GRM: 2.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $90,083
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
421 W 6th St	0.16mi	2/1.0	800 (+6%)	7mo	$94,900	$119	77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 85.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.95×
• Total profit: $21,995
• Equity at exit: $2,967

10-year hold

• IRR: 88.9%
• Equity multiple: 10.26×
• Total profit: $51,618
• Equity at exit: $1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66713

• Home prices YoY: -17.7%
• Active inventory: 54
• Price-to-rent: 2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $649 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$104
• Tax from tax record: −$4 /mo · $44/yr
• Insurance: −$8
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$136
• Net cashflow: $396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $147

Max offer price $19,900

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,975
• Closing costs: $597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
126 E 13th St Apt 8 Baxter Springs, KS	1.0	1.0	700	$650	$0.93	20d	1	0.65mi
1520 Cleveland Ave Unit 2-206 Baxter Springs, KS	1.0	1.0	643	$598	$0.93	20d	1	0.87mi
1520 Cleveland Ave Unit 2-302 Baxter Springs, KS	2.0	1.0	989	$795	$0.80	20d	1	0.87mi
1520 Cleveland Ave Unit 1-003 Baxter Springs, KS	1.0	1.0	932	$561	$0.60	20d	1	0.87mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2024-07-01
   status Pending
2. 2024-05-07
   listed $19,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $44 · $4/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $281 · $23/mo
• Expected delta: +$237/yr (+$20/mo · 540.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $7,782
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,115
• − Property taxes: −$44
• − Insurance: −$100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$623
• − Management: −$623
• − Depreciation: −$579
• Taxable income: $4,700
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,128
• After-tax cash flow: $3,624/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baxter Springs
• NCES district ID: 2003810
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $40,038
• Composite: 29.37/100
• National rank: #6529
• State rank: #64 of 169 in KS

Livability — Baxter Springs

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #63
• US rank: #3952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Baxter Springs, KS
• Population (ZIP): 5,560

Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 18,848 people
• By 2030: 17,862 · -5.2%
• By 2040: 15,850 · -15.9%
• By 2050: 13,915 · -26.2%
• By 2075: 10,102 · -46.4%
• By 2100: 6,977 · -63.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 6% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.9) · D 22.6% · R 75.5% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.2pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -52.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+29.5 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -37.71%
• Current HPI: 175.5431
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2024-07-01 Pending — OGAR
• 2024-05-07 Listed $19,900 OGAR

Property tax history

-25.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $44 · -42.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.