7472 Road F SE #8 · Marine View, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home in Sun Desert Park a 55+ Senior Community where only one adult needs to be 55. Located close to Legacy Golf Course, Potholes State Park and MarDon Resort! This charming and well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Step inside to find a warm and inviting living space with a spacious kitchen that features ample cabinet space. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom and generous closet space! Outside you'll find a 24x50 shop featuring two insulated walled off rooms, a mezzanine and room to park your Rv, boat, golf cart or anything else you desire, there is a large automatic bay door and t
Key facts
- 24x50 shop
- Mezzanine
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Royal School District (rural): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #241 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $165k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.20%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $261,850
- List price
- $164,999
- Delta
- -36.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $660
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $35,642
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99344
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $467/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-09$164,999 Active
-
2005-03-28soldstatus $57,000
-
2004-09-13$59,900
-
2000-05-01soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $467 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,150/yr (+$96/mo · 246.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,331
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$467
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,706
- − Management
- −$1,706
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Royal School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,923
- Composite
- 33.87/100
- National rank
- #10366
- State rank
- #241 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marine View
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,458
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,356 people
- By 2030
- 102,107 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 108,318 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 114,712 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 131,376 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 146,163 · +47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% White 25% Two or more races 21% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 59%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -401.63%
- Current HPI
- 212.6444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+200.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $164,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-28 Sold (MLS) $57,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-13 Listed $59,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2017): $467 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…