1253 Greenville Way · The Villages, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.
Key facts
- Painted driveway
- Volume ceilings
- Tiled backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: South on Buena Vista into Liberty Park gate, left on Darlington, left on Greenville Way; home is on the right.
- Financial info: CDD on property; Home is homesteaded; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (fee optional); Deed-restricted community; Dog park; Fitness center; Golf carts permitted; Golf; Pool; Tennis courts; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20x20)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on public records
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Rain gutters; Irrigation system
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water filtration system; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Skylights
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry (washer and dryer included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
- Recommended offer: $376k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,006/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 987% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $254k; list at $400k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.18%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $474,047
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2391 ST George Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,957 (-0%) | 4mo | $810,000 | $414 | 74 |
| 2416 Boiling Springs Ct | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,927 (-2%) | 4mo | $719,000 | $373 | 70 |
| 1159 Isle OF Palms Path | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,887 (-4%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $212 | 68 |
| 1040 Dentsville Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,006 (+2%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $184 | 68 |
| 2449 Heath Springs Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,965 (-0%) | 3mo | $535,000 | $272 | 68 |
| 973 Isle OF Palms Path | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,927 (-2%) | 4mo | $402,000 | $209 | 67 |
| 1486 Golden Ridge Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,881 (-4%) | 2mo | $450,000 | $239 | 67 |
| 1656 Hollow Branch Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,927 (-2%) | 0mo | $435,000 | $226 | 63 |
| 1595 Golden Ridge Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,920 (-2%) | 2mo | $675,000 | $352 | 61 |
| 2505 Heath Springs Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,887 (-4%) | 2mo | $483,000 | $256 | 59 |
| 1676 Van Buren Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,840 (-6%) | 5mo | $410,000 | $223 | 50 |
| 1780 Reedy Creek Pl | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,743 (-11%) | 3mo | $420,000 | $241 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-24,375
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $41,545
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32162
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 550
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,006 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,883/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$841
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1623 Abernethy Pl The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $4,800 | $3.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1109 Alcove Loop The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $3,000 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 731 Baisley Trl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $4,500 | $2.98 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2111 Jem Path The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $5,800 | $2.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2192 Quinn Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $5,600 | $3.48 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2875 Rain Lily Loop The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1965 | $4,490 | $2.28 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-08status $400,000 Pending 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $400,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $400,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $400,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $400,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $400,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $410,000
-
2026-04-17price $425,000
-
2026-04-01$440,000 Active
-
2016-04-20soldstatus $254,000
-
2012-04-05soldstatus $224,889
-
2012-03-30soldstatus $224,899 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.
-
2011-11-27$224,899 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.
-
2006-10-23soldstatus $250,000
-
2006-10-19soldstatus $250,000 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Designer home less than 1 year old, 2 bedroom 2 bath plus den. Very open living area, tiled eat-in kitchen, tile in traffic areas. Home is like new.
-
2006-08-05$284,900 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Designer home less than 1 year old, 2 bedroom 2 bath plus den. Very open living area, tiled eat-in kitchen, tile in traffic areas. Home is like new.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,883 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,883 · $324/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$3,883
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,846
- − Management
- −$3,846
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable income
- $457
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Villages
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #7363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Villages, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 83,973
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,424
- Household income
- $74,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 987.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.16%
- Current HPI
- 218.1956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+43.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $410,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $440,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $254,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $224,889 Public Records
- 2012-03-30 Sold (MLS) $224,899 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-27 Listed $224,899 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-19 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-05 Listed $284,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,883 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…