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1253 Greenville Way
C+ Composite 62.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

1253 Greenville Way · The Villages, FL 32162
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,967 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 2005 5,414 sqft lot Est $474k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.

Key facts

  • Painted driveway
  • Volume ceilings
  • Tiled backsplash

Tags

PAINTED DRIVEWAYPAINTED WALKWAYVOLUME CEILINGSCERAMIC TILE IN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILED BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: South on Buena Vista into Liberty Park gate, left on Darlington, left on Greenville Way; home is on the right.
  • Financial info: CDD on property; Home is homesteaded; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (fee optional); Deed-restricted community; Dog park; Fitness center; Golf carts permitted; Golf; Pool; Tennis courts; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20x20)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on public records
  • Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Rain gutters; Irrigation system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water filtration system; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Skylights
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry (washer and dryer included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
  • Recommended offer: $376k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,006/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 987% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $254k; list at $400k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $376,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.18%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$474,047
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2391 ST George Ave 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,957 (-0%) 4mo $810,000 $414 74
2416 Boiling Springs Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,927 (-2%) 4mo $719,000 $373 70
1159 Isle OF Palms Path 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,887 (-4%) 2mo $400,000 $212 68
1040 Dentsville Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 2,006 (+2%) 0mo $370,000 $184 68
2449 Heath Springs Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,965 (-0%) 3mo $535,000 $272 68
973 Isle OF Palms Path 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,927 (-2%) 4mo $402,000 $209 67
1486 Golden Ridge Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,881 (-4%) 2mo $450,000 $239 67
1656 Hollow Branch Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,927 (-2%) 0mo $435,000 $226 63
1595 Golden Ridge Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,920 (-2%) 2mo $675,000 $352 61
2505 Heath Springs Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,887 (-4%) 2mo $483,000 $256 59
1676 Van Buren Way 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,840 (-6%) 5mo $410,000 $223 50
1780 Reedy Creek Pl 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,743 (-11%) 3mo $420,000 $241 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-24,375
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$41,545
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32162

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
550
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,006 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$324 /mo · $3,883/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$841
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,276
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1623 Abernethy Pl The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $4,800 $3.07 20d 1 0.55mi
1109 Alcove Loop The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1970 $3,000 $1.52 20d 1 0.90mi
731 Baisley Trl The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1512 $4,500 $2.98 20d 1 0.92mi
2111 Jem Path The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 2000 $5,800 $2.90 20d 1 1.37mi
2192 Quinn Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1611 $5,600 $3.48 20d 1 1.48mi
2875 Rain Lily Loop The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1965 $4,490 $2.28 20d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $400,000 Pending 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $400,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $400,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $400,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-04-29
    price $410,000
  8. 2026-04-17
    price $425,000
  9. 2026-04-01
    listed $440,000 Active
  10. 2016-04-20
    soldstatus $254,000
  11. 2012-04-05
    soldstatus $224,889
  12. 2012-03-30
    soldstatus $224,899 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.

  13. 2011-11-27
    listed $224,899 1030-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1030 chars)

    This pristine 3/2 Camellia Designer is located in the Village of Liberty Park and has great curb appeal. The third bedroom does not have a closet. This home features an open split floor plan with volume ceilings; hardwood flooring in the living room anddining room, ceramic tile in the kitchen, nook, baths, laundry and walkways and carpet in the bedrooms; maple raised cabinets with crown molding; formica counters with beveled edges; pull-out shelves; recessed lighting; rocker light switches; pocket doorto guest suite; buffet with granite counter in dining room; lanai has a 2 ft stretch to rear; great landscaping gives lots of privacy; slider to master bedroom; His and Hers walk-in closets, double sinks and water closet in master bath; insulated windows; pull down stairs and raised trusses in attic for storage; architectural shingles; gutters and downspouts and much, much more. Centrally located in the Village of Liberty Park. Close to pools, restaurants, golf courses, recreation centers, shopping andentertainment.

  14. 2006-10-23
    soldstatus $250,000
  15. 2006-10-19
    soldstatus $250,000 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Designer home less than 1 year old, 2 bedroom 2 bath plus den. Very open living area, tiled eat-in kitchen, tile in traffic areas. Home is like new.

  16. 2006-08-05
    listed $284,900 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Designer home less than 1 year old, 2 bedroom 2 bath plus den. Very open living area, tiled eat-in kitchen, tile in traffic areas. Home is like new.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,883 · $324/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,883 · $324/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,074
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$3,883
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,846
− Management
−$3,846
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable income
$457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$110
After-tax cash flow
$6,814/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Villages

Score
70/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#7363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Villages, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
83,973
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
55,424
Household income
$74,119
Rent vs Own
7.1% rent · 92.9% own
Severe rent burden
987.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.16%
Current HPI
218.1956
Rent YoY
▲ 3.92%
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $410,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $440,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $254,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $224,889 Public Records
  • 2012-03-30 Sold (MLS) $224,899 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-11-27 Listed $224,899 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-19 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-05 Listed $284,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,883 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…