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1533 Ccc Line Rd
C+ Composite 61.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1533 Ccc Line Rd · Prairie, MS 39773
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,363 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1980 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1533 CCC Line Road in Prairie, MS (West Point)—a prime opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life! Nestled on a spacious 1-acre lot, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect canvas for a full renovation project. This property already features a major upgrade with a newer-style metal roof, giving you a strong head start on improvements. The fully bricked exterior adds durability and timeless curb appeal, while the generous lot provides plenty of space for outdoor living, expansion, or additional improvements. Inside, the home is ready for transformation and will require significant repairs and updates—ideal for those lookin

Key facts

  • Quiet rural setting
  • 1 acre lot
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

1 ACRE LOTNEWER STYLE METAL ROOFFULLY BRICKED EXTERIORQUIET RURAL SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick and brick veneer construction; Slab foundation; Built in public records (year built from public records)
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s); Open and wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Microwave; Range hood
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Pantry; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Double vanity(s); Storm door(s); Aluminum window frames with double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Zoned schools: West Clay Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #244 of 375 statewide, top 65%, 94 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.14%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$320
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$21,473
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39773

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $588/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $100,000 Active 1019-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$588 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$790 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 34.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,291
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$588
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,063
− Management
−$1,063
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$376
After-tax cash flow
$2,743/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Prairie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,771

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,339 people
By 2030
18,773 · -2.9%
By 2040
17,357 · -10.2%
By 2050
15,891 · -17.8%
By 2075
12,695 · -34.4%
By 2100
9,930 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 39% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.8% · R 44.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+16.3 2016: D+15.7 2012: D+22.0 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.19%
Current HPI
139.7515
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $100,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $588 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…