1102 Lawton St · Monongahela, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a drive by this cozy two bedroom, one bath home and see if it may be your next investment.
Key facts
- 3,001 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 253 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 6.9% in Monongahela — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#629 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $223 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $966 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.39%
- DSCR
- 3.87
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,820
- List price
- $32,200
- Delta
- -67.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 1st Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 832 (+1%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $156 | 69 |
| 431 Hillman St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-4%) | 15mo | $137,000 | $173 | 67 |
| 106 1st Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 | 903 (+10%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $42 | 66 |
| 631 Shelby St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 862 (+5%) | 16mo | $99,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 1016 Lincoln St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 925 (+12%) | 15mo | $172,000 | $186 | 54 |
| 106 Morton St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 938 (+14%) | 16mo | $80,000 | $85 | 44 |
| 41 Crestview Ests | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 902 (+10%) | 14mo | $82,000 | $91 | 43 |
| 440 Pleasant St | 0.59mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 913 (+11%) | 15mo | $29,900 | $33 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $25,642
- Equity at exit
- $4,801
- IRR
- 68.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.90×
- Total profit
- $62,192
- Equity at exit
- $2,784
Cash invested: $9,016 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15063
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $958 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$169
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,091/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,050
- Closing costs
- $966
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,200 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $32,200 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,200 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $32,200 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,200 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,200 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,200 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,200 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,200 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $32,200 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $32,200 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,200 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,200 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,200 Active 235 DOM
-
2025-10-08$32,200 Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Take a drive by this cozy two bedroom, one bath home and see if it may be your next investment.
-
2017-08-30soldstatus $52,500
-
2017-08-28soldstatus $52,500 Sold 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
2017-07-08historical Contingent 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
2017-07-06price $52,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
2017-05-12price $49,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
2017-04-06price $59,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
2017-03-23$62,000 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Cute as a button and move in ready. A beautifully appointed two bedroom, one bath cottage. Rear yard with a patio and just a short walk to the off street parking for 2 cars. A must see!! Furnace is 4 yr old. HWT newer.
-
1993-12-23soldstatus $20,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,091 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,091 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,499
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,804
- − Property taxes
- −$1,091
- − Insurance
- −$161
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$920
- − Management
- −$920
- − Depreciation
- −$937
- Taxable income
- $5,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ringgold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220400
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,754
- Composite
- 23.75/100
- National rank
- #7819
- State rank
- #452 of 539 in PA
Livability — Monongahela
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #6064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monongahela, PA
- City population
- 10,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,479
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.31%
- Current HPI
- 261.0334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-08 Listed $32,200 West Penn MLS
- 2017-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) $52,500 West Penn MLS
- 2017-07-08 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2017-07-06 Price Changed $52,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-05-12 Price Changed $49,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-04-06 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-03-23 Listed $62,000 West Penn MLS
- 1993-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,091 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…