3412 Antioch Rd · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a 5,663 sq ft lot, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers 924 sq ft of potential in a convenient Macon location. Zoned M-1 (Wholesale & Light Industrial), this unique property presents a variety of possibilities for investors, business owners, or buyers looking for flexible use potential. Whether you're considering redevelopment, storage, office space, or a workshop opportunity, this property is worth a look. Cash or conventional financing only. Don't miss this versatile investment opportunity!
Key facts
- Office space
- M-1 zoning
- Workshop opportunity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Lynmore Mikado subdivision
- Financial info: Investor owned
- HOA & community: No HOA; Association fees: none
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; High speed internet available; Natural gas available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Built in 1957
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Level lot; Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances: Other
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: One-level living; Living area reported as 924 (public records); Fixer condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $55k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.49%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,516
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3441 Antioch Hts | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 897 (-3%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $84 | 87 |
| 569 Grenada Ter | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-10%) | 2mo | $43,000 | $52 | 68 |
| 534 Lynmore Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-6%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $64 | 61 |
| 524 Ormond Ter | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 820 (-11%) | 9mo | $33,000 | $40 | 60 |
| 560 Ormond Ter | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,031 (+12%) | 14mo | $60,857 | $59 | 58 |
| 594 Grenada Ter | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (+10%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 562 Richmond St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+5%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $15 | 56 |
| 3935 Broadway | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+5%) | 13mo | $33,000 | $34 | 54 |
| 3423 Flamingo Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+13%) | 14mo | $68,361 | $65 | 53 |
| 837 Newberg Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 966 (+4%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $38 | 52 |
| 533 Lynmore Cir | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-14%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $69 | 46 |
| 905 Ponce De Leon Cir S | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,035 (+12%) | 19mo | $28,000 | $27 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $23,866
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $69,390
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $280/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $895 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 534 Lynmore Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $925 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 558 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $925 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $875 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $745 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 672 Bowden St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $900 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 906 Thomas St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 663 Williams St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $980 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 771 Harold St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 New 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 New 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 New 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 New 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 New 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 New 4 DOM
-
2026-05-18$55,000 New
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2026-01-26status Back On Market
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-11-01price $38,999
-
2025-09-17$45,000 New
-
2024-11-15historical
-
2024-08-21$79,900 New
-
2023-03-03soldstatus $16,500 Closed
-
2023-02-24status Pending
-
2023-02-23soldstatus $16,500 Sold
-
2023-02-10price $12,900
-
2023-02-10price $12,900
-
2023-01-27price $15,000
-
2022-12-29price $29,900
-
2022-12-29price $29,900
-
2022-12-21price $39,900
-
2022-12-21price $39,900
-
2022-12-09$50,000 Active
-
2022-12-09$50,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $280 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$226/yr (+$19/mo · 80.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$280
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$991
- − Management
- −$991
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+10.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-26 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $38,999 GAMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-08-21 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2023-03-03 Sold (MLS) $16,500 FMLS
- 2023-02-24 Pending — FMLS
- 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) $16,500 GAMLS
- 2023-02-10 Price Changed $12,900 FMLS
- 2023-02-10 Price Changed $12,900 GAMLS
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $15,000 FMLS
- 2022-12-29 Price Changed $29,900 GAMLS
- 2022-12-29 Price Changed $29,900 FMLS
- 2022-12-21 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
- 2022-12-21 Price Changed $39,900 FMLS
- 2022-12-09 Listed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2022-12-09 Listed $50,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $280 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…