948 Terrace Ave · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
Key facts
- New roof
- Updated bathroom
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 41.2% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 481 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 481 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 124.59%
- DSCR
- 6.54
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,483
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -55.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3384 Casa Grande Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,182 (-0%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $76 | 69 |
| 1063 Voorhees Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,235 (+4%) | 4mo | $58,900 | $48 | 61 |
| 2979 Angela Circle Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (+8%) | 23mo | $7,500 | $6 | 46 |
| 718 Glenmont Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,071 (-10%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $70 | 40 |
| 926 Claiborne Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+12%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $68 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.56×
- Total profit
- $59,931
- Equity at exit
- $22,522
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.02×
- Total profit
- $140,136
- Equity at exit
- $48,570
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39209
- Home prices YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,155 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $529/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4567 Meadowmont Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $800 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 723 Glenmont Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1711 Robinson St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1818 Saint Charles St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $995 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 309 S Denver St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 264 Sewanee Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $995 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4539 Ritchey Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 255 S Prentiss St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1816 Kenmore Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 473 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 462 DOM
-
2025-10-07status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
2025-07-17price $25,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
2025-05-28status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
2025-05-15status Pending 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
2025-05-15historical 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
2024-09-18$39,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs some work but offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or handy buyers. With the right updates, this property has strong potential for rental income or resale. Located in an area with solid growth, it's a perfect chance to add value and build equity.
-
1987-01-01soldstatus
-
1985-02-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $529 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $529 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$529
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,126
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,776
- Household income
- $36,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1627.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.28%
- Current HPI
- 312.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-35.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $25,000 MLSU
- 2025-05-28 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-05-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-05-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-09-18 Listed $39,000 MLSU
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1985-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $529 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…