312 Pinecrest Dr · Trinity, TX 75862

$195,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,714 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market

Built 1972 0.88 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.7/10.0
• DSCR +3.6/10.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

Key facts

• Workshop shed
• Natural light
• Sizeable lot

Tags

• COVERED RV CANOPY
• 30-AMP HOOKUP
• WORKSHOP SHED
• SIZEABLE LOT
• NATURAL LIGHT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-480/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (3.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (14.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $166k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,405 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Trinity ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #682 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 468 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Trinity County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $340 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
• Trinity County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $104k; list at $195k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 93% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $166,254 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.05%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.88%
• DSCR: 0.96
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.76×
• Total profit: $-12,910
• Equity at exit: $51,634

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.11×
• Total profit: $6,005
• Equity at exit: $58,214

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75862

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Active inventory: 468
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,663 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,023
• Tax from tax record: −$250 /mo · $2,994/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$349
• Net cashflow: $-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,713

Max offer price $187,940

Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,750
• Closing costs: $5,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-05-18
   status Pending 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

2. 2026-04-23
   price $195,000 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

3. 2026-04-21
   price $195,000 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

4. 2026-03-02
   status Active 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

5. 2025-12-20
   status Active 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

6. 2025-12-17
   status Pending 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

7. 2025-12-05
   status Pending 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

8. 2025-12-01
   listed $215,000 Active 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

9. 2025-12-01
   listed $215,000 Active 667-char remark

   Show marketing remark (667 chars)

   Sitting on nearly an acre, this charming 4/5-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers 2,714+ sq ft of space and endless potential (5th bedroom or office depending on preferred use). It carries a warm, classic character with plenty of room to update to your style. You'll love the oversized living room areas, spacious bedrooms, and the abundant natural light throughout. Step outside to enjoy a sizeable 0.88 acre lot, complete with a covered RV canopy, 30-amp hookup, and a versatile workshop shed, perfect for weekend projects or extra storage. Conveniently located only a couple miles from schools, this home combines comfort, space, and practicality in one inviting package.

10. 2020-05-13
    historical
11. 2019-11-08
    listed $154,900
12. 2019-11-01
    historical
13. 2019-03-20
    listed $175,000
14. 2015-12-28
    soldstatus $103,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,994 · $250/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,568 · $297/mo
• Expected delta: +$574/yr (+$48/mo · 19.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 93% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,950
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,923
• − Property taxes: −$2,994
• − Insurance: −$975
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,596
• − Management: −$1,596
• − Depreciation: −$5,673
• Taxable loss: −$3,807
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$914
• After-tax cash flow: $434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Trinity ISD
• NCES district ID: 4843200
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $37,104
• Composite: 23.31/100
• National rank: #7919
• State rank: #682 of 826 in TX

Livability — Trinity

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #1405
• US rank: #24056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Trinity, TX
• Population (ZIP): 10,030

Population outlook (Trinity County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,746 people
• By 2030: 13,333 · -3.0%
• By 2040: 12,542 · -8.8%
• By 2050: 11,942 · -13.1%
• By 2075: 10,871 · -20.9%
• By 2100: 9,784 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Trinity

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+67.0) · D 16.2% · R 83.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -67.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+67.0 2020: R+61.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.52%
• Current HPI: 174.6638
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+88.4% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Pending — Deep East Texas MLS
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $195,000 Deep East Texas MLS
• 2026-04-21 Price Changed $195,000 HARMLS
• 2026-03-02 Relisted — Deep East Texas MLS
• 2025-12-20 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-12-17 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-12-05 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-12-01 Listed $215,000 HARMLS
• 2025-12-01 Listed $215,000 Deep East Texas MLS
• 2020-05-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2019-11-08 Listed $154,900 HARMLS
• 2019-11-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2019-03-20 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
• 2015-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,994 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.