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4437 Sybil Dr
B Composite 74.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$115,900

4437 Sybil Dr · North Whitehall, PA 18069
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 792 sqft · Other · 15 Days on market
Built 2026 Poor condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautiful brand-new 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in the desirable Woodside MHP community! This modern home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to an open-concept layout featuring a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into a bright, fully equipped kitchen with sleek cabinetry, energy-efficient appliances, and plenty of counter space-perfect for entertaining or everyday living. The primary bedroom includes a private en-suite bathroom for added convenience, while the second bedroom and full guest bath provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With brand-new finishes throughout, energy-efficient co

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: New construction completed in 2026
  • Construction: Built in 2026
  • Exterior features: Located in the Orefield subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $116k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $116k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Parkland SD (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($801 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $114,161 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.39%
Cash-on-cash
53.93%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$94,405
Equity at exit
$38,828
10-year hold
IRR
58.1%
Equity multiple
7.87×
Total profit
$222,905
Equity at exit
$51,032

Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18069

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$608
Tax est. 1.5%
$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$601
Net cashflow
$1,458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,014
Max offer price $115,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,975
Closing costs
$3,477
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $115,900 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,320
− Mortgage interest
−$6,492
− Property taxes
−$1,738
− Insurance
−$580
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,746
− Management
−$2,746
− Depreciation
−$3,372
Taxable income
$16,647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,995
After-tax cash flow
$13,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

The home requires extensive repairs and updates, including a new roof, siding, windows, HVAC system, and landscaping, to become move-in ready and significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — No visible roof in the provided images.
  • Major exterior siding — No visible exterior siding in the provided images.
  • Major windows — No visible windows in the provided images.
  • Major HVAC/mechanical — No visible HVAC/mechanical in the provided images.
  • Major landscaping — No visible landscaping in the provided images.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repairing or replacing the siding would enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both window replacement — New windows would improve energy efficiency and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both HVAC system upgrade — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape would significantly boost the home's curb appeal and value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · No visible roof in the provided images. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · No visible exterior siding in the provided images. Major $15,000–50,000
windows · No visible windows in the provided images. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanical · No visible HVAC/mechanical in the provided images. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · No visible landscaping in the provided images. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both exterior siding repair — Repairing or replacing the siding would enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both window replacement — New windows would improve energy efficiency and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both HVAC system upgrade — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape would significantly boost the home's curb appeal and value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parkland SD
NCES district ID
4218510
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$77,976
Composite
57.44/100
National rank
#1074
State rank
#40 of 539 in PA

Livability — North Whitehall

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,804

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.88%
Current HPI
277.9781
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $115,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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