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Roxbury Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,990

Roxbury Plan · Williamstown, NJ 08094
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,503 sqft · Townhouse · 62 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Grandview Mews - start fresh in a low-maintenance community where spacious townhomes feel like single-family living made easy. The Roxbury offers a flexible and spacious layout, designed for modern living. From the welcoming foyer, a hall leads to the stunning great room, which flows to the dinette and gourmet kitchen with abundant counter space. For those looking for even more room, the Roxbury offers an optional 6' extension - a significant expansion that enhances your main living space. A deck option is also available, giving you the opportunity to enjoy outdoor entertaining. Upstairs, two spacious bedrooms and a full hall bath provide comfort. Your luxurious owner's suite inc

Key facts

  • Deck option
  • Tray ceiling
  • Flexible layout

Tags

FLEXIBLE LAYOUTGOURMET KITCHENABUNDANT COUNTER SPACEDECK OPTIONLUXURIOUS OWNER'S SUITETRAY CEILING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: List price $379,990; Address: Williamstown, NJ 08094

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 parking space (total)
  • Utilities: Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Roxbury plan; New construction (Plan)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $379,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $338,175.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $380k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (25.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $283k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $282,881 (25.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$338,175
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Comfort Rd 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,567 (+4%) 3mo $345,000 $220 82
1186 Glen Haven Ct 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,527 (+2%) 6mo $317,101 $208 82
68 Kerry Lynn Ct 0.20mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,412 (-6%) 2mo $310,000 $220 74
32 Burr St 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,567 (+4%) 3mo $333,300 $213 74
240 Rothberg Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,567 (+4%) 0mo $362,500 $231 72
308 Comfort Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,567 (+4%) 1mo $355,000 $227 72
41 Burr St 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,410 (-6%) 0mo $346,500 $246 72
9 Birchwood Ln 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,719 (+14%) 5mo $379,900 $221 68
138 Kerry Lynn Ct 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,382 (-8%) 8mo $325,000 $235 66
1029 Baywood Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,578 (+5%) 6mo $315,000 $200 61
58 Burr St 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,310 (-13%) 3mo $359,900 $275 58
357 Brookdale Blvd 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,314 (-13%) 5mo $295,000 $225 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-61,271
Equity at exit
$50,423
10-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-61,570
Equity at exit
$29,239

Cash invested: $94,689 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,829 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,773
Tax est. 1.5%
$423 /mo · $5,073/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$594
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,958
Max offer price $323,373
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,544
Closing costs
$10,145
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
343 Brookdale Blvd Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1438 $2,500 $1.74 1d 1 0.50mi
1616 N Main St Williamstown, NJ 2.0 2.0 1064 $2,500 $2.35 2d 1 0.89mi
1761 Glassboro Cross Keys Rd Williamstown, NJ 2.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 19d 1 1.20mi
1000 Fawn Dr Williamstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1209 $5,983 $4.95 1d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $379,990 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $379,990 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $379,990 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $379,990 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $379,990 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $379,990 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $379,990 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $379,990 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $379,990 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $379,990 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $379,990 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,990 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,990 Active 44 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,946
− Mortgage interest
−$18,943
− Property taxes
−$5,073
− Insurance
−$1,691
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,716
− Management
−$2,716
− Depreciation
−$9,838
Taxable loss
−$7,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,687
After-tax cash flow
$460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This townhouse is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, hardwood floors, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for an investor to make minor updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Replacing old flooring with modern options can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen with new appliances can attract more buyers/tenants and increase value.
  • Both Adding a deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase both resale and rental value by providing additional living space and entertainment area.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Replacing old flooring with modern options can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen with new appliances can attract more buyers/tenants and increase value.
  • Both Adding a deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase both resale and rental value by providing additional living space and entertainment area.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Williamstown

Score
69/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#8603

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
41,595
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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