508 S Sinnet St · Girard, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (Ranch)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Estimated age: 41–50 years
- Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 64.5 x 304 feet; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms including living and dining areas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#185 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Girard (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 169 in KS (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.98%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,730
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Josie St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,518 (-6%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 200 W Lexington St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,719 (+7%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 415 S Cherokee St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+14%) | 10mo | $19,000 | $10 | 48 |
| 820 S Ozark St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (+11%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $93 | 47 |
| 510 S Carbon St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $76 | 32 |
| 615 S Summit St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,797 (+12%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $75 | 32 |
| 108 W Buffalo St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-14%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $98 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $23,154
- Equity at exit
- $48,847
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $67,684
- Equity at exit
- $78,488
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66743
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$114,900 Active
-
2003-07-01soldstatus $70,000
-
1996-10-01soldstatus $58,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,818
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$189
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Girard
- NCES district ID
- 2006480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,262
- Composite
- 32.24/100
- National rank
- #5769
- State rank
- #44 of 169 in KS
Livability — Girard
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #185
- US rank
- #8485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Girard, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,384
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,393 people
- By 2030
- 39,540 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,452 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 39,188 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 39,038 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 38,219 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 196.0003
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+96.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $114,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,818 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…