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2649 Evergreen Dr
B- Composite 68.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

2649 Evergreen Dr · Charleston, WV 25302
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,346 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1942 8,276 sqft lot Est $213k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Basement access to garage; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Plaster and vinyl siding exterior; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Shoals Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 210 students, 0% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 7% / reading 18%, grade F, #109 of 109 statewide, top 100%, 377 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.27%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,668
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2595 Pennsylvania Ave 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-3%) 22mo $52,000 $40 56
210 Ferndale Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,436 (+7%) 10mo $29,500 $21 56
309 Beacon Ter 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,174 (-13%) 2mo $230,500 $196 55
303 Knollwood Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 3mo $228,000 $158 54
194 Conner Dr Unit N 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,524 (+13%) 3mo $249,000 $163 51
312 Redwood Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,534 (+14%) 12mo $140,000 $91 38
194 Conner Dr Unit H 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,146 (-15%) 22mo $185,000 $161 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$617
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$26,268
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25302

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,346 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $830/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $947
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    price $119,900
  3. 2026-04-13
    listed $133,000 Active
  4. 2016-11-17
    soldstatus $78,000
  5. 2016-11-01
    soldstatus $78,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.

  6. 2016-02-11
    listed $85,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.

  7. 2005-12-02
    soldstatus $65,000
  8. 2000-08-03
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$830 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$830 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,148
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$830
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,292
− Management
−$1,292
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$463
After-tax cash flow
$3,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Charleston

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#524

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kanawha County · 33,502 people
City population
33,502
Metro
Charleston, WV
Population (ZIP)
13,204
Household income
$55,210
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.83%
Current HPI
160.7081
Rent YoY
Metro
Charleston, WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+46.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $119,900 KVBOR
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $133,000 KVBOR
  • 2016-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2016-11-01 Sold (MLS) $78,000 KVBOR
  • 2016-02-11 Listed $85,000 KVBOR
  • 2005-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2000-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $830 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…