2649 Evergreen Dr · Charleston, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Basement access to garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Plaster and vinyl siding exterior; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Shoals Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 210 students, 0% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 7% / reading 18%, grade F, #109 of 109 statewide, top 100%, 377 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.27%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,668
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2595 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 22mo | $52,000 | $40 | 56 |
| 210 Ferndale Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,436 (+7%) | 10mo | $29,500 | $21 | 56 |
| 309 Beacon Ter | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (-13%) | 2mo | $230,500 | $196 | 55 |
| 303 Knollwood Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $228,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 194 Conner Dr Unit N | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,524 (+13%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 312 Redwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,534 (+14%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $91 | 38 |
| 194 Conner Dr Unit H | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (-15%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $161 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $617
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $26,268
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25302
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,346 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $830/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-07price $119,900
-
2026-04-13$133,000 Active
-
2016-11-17soldstatus $78,000
-
2016-11-01soldstatus $78,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.
-
2016-02-11$85,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Nice two-bedroom Cape Cod. One full bath, one car garage. Large bonus room- could be third bedroom. Close to downtown Charleston. Gas-log fire place in basement.
-
2005-12-02soldstatus $65,000
-
2000-08-03soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $830 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $830 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$830
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,292
- − Management
- −$1,292
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,931
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$463
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #524
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kanawha County · 33,502 people
- City population
- 33,502
- Metro
- Charleston, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,204
- Household income
- $55,210
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.83%
- Current HPI
- 160.7081
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charleston, WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+46.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $119,900 KVBOR
- 2026-04-13 Listed $133,000 KVBOR
- 2016-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2016-11-01 Sold (MLS) $78,000 KVBOR
- 2016-02-11 Listed $85,000 KVBOR
- 2005-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $830 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…