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1 Dixie Dr
C- Composite 52.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,777

1 Dixie Dr · Penns Grove, NJ 08069
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,129 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1950 0.26 ac lot Est $238k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Estimated effective year of major renovation: 2026; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
  • Exterior features: Corner lot location; Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Not furnished; Excellent condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.0% in Penns Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#519 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Penns Grove-Carneys Point Regional School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #462 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $230k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,777

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.45%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,219
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Dixie Dr 0.02mi 4/1.0 1,142 (+1%) 0mo $260,000 $228 97
112 Snow Drop Ln 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (+5%) 5mo $235,000 $198 75
116 Lotus Ln 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (+5%) 2mo $250,000 $211 74
104 Wisteria 0.10mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-11%) 4mo $240,000 $238 69
329 Wilson Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,124 (-0%) 0mo $235,000 $209 66
289 C St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-2%) 5mo $225,000 $204 54
252 G St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-10%) 1mo $240,000 $237 51
311 Tyler Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+10%) 5mo $305,000 $244 50
322 Green Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,006 (-11%) 2mo $210,000 $209 48
262 Laurel St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,038 (-8%) 5mo $182,000 $175 48
279 Logwood Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,281 (+14%) 3mo $199,900 $156 47
68 E Harmony St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,237 (+10%) 0mo $340,000 $275 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-15,137
Equity at exit
$34,260
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$15,515
Equity at exit
$19,867

Cash invested: $64,338 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08069

Home prices YoY
-18.8%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,549 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,205
Tax from tax record
$368 /mo · $4,412/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,112
Max offer price $229,777
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,444
Closing costs
$6,893
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
258 Birch St Penns Grove, NJ 3.0 1.0 1114 $2,100 $1.89 10d 1 0.59mi
79 Delaware Ave Penns Grove, NJ 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,900 $1.46 1d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $229,777 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,777 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,777 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,777 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,777 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $229,777 Active
  7. 2025-06-05
    historical
  8. 2025-05-29
    price $240,000
  9. 2025-05-07
    listed $265,000 Active
  10. 2021-06-07
    soldstatus $135,000
  11. 2021-05-04
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  12. 2021-03-25
    status Pending 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  13. 2021-03-20
    price $135,800 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  14. 2021-02-25
    price $140,000 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  15. 2021-02-25
    price $144,900 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  16. 2021-02-24
    price $140,000 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  17. 2021-02-07
    listed $144,900 Active 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Adorable, newly remodeled, home in Penns Grove. New roof, new appliances, newer water heather, new kitchen and bath, and fresh paint through out! Owner also just had original hardwood floors refinished. This home is conveniently located near local shops , quick access to major highways and walking distance to both the middle school and high school.

  18. 2008-08-07
    soldstatus $110,000
  19. 2008-07-25
    soldstatus $110,000
  20. 2008-06-23
    historical
  21. 2008-06-12
    listed $94,900
  22. 2003-03-26
    soldstatus $66,000
  23. 2003-03-19
    soldstatus $66,000
  24. 2003-01-13
    historical
  25. 2002-10-09
    listed $66,000
  26. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $201,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,412 · $368/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,067 · $422/mo
Expected delta
+$655/yr (+$55/mo · 14.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,591
− Mortgage interest
−$12,871
− Property taxes
−$4,412
− Insurance
−$1,149
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,447
− Management
−$2,447
− Depreciation
−$6,684
Taxable income
$580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$139
After-tax cash flow
$4,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penns Grove-Carneys Point Regional School District
NCES district ID
3412840
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
11.98/100
National rank
#9665
State rank
#462 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Penns Grove

Score
57/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#22190

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Penns Grove, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
13,413
Household income
$71,942
Rent vs Own
46.1% rent · 53.9% own
Severe rent burden
696.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 22% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.07%
Current HPI
290.3853
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.1% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $229,777 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-07 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-04 Sold (MLS) $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-25 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-20 Price Changed $135,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-02-25 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-02-25 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-02-24 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-02-07 Listed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-25 Sold (MLS) $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-12 Listed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2003-03-19 Sold (MLS) $66,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-01-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-10-09 Listed $66,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $201,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,412 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…