303 Charter Oak Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Action priced! FINALLY!! A rehab that you can invest in and still make a profit! It needs work, but will be quite a bargain with a little sweat equity. Sold "as is". Check the comps on this one--there is nothing in this price range! Seller is long time owner who is happy with a reasonable return. She wants a QUICK settlement and no repair requests. Please do all due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Please submit your highest and best offer. Escalation addendum allowed. NOT an Auction, NOT a foreclosure, NOT a short sale.
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Fully renovated
- Built 1937
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition reported as very good; Below-grade unfinished area reported by assessor
- Financial info: Ground rent payment: $108 semi-annually; Ownership includes ground rent
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Built year sourced from assessor; Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (paid semi-annually)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the upper level, one on the lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating using natural gas; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; Full basement, partially finished
- Laundry & utility: Hot water heated by natural gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($531/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $116k; list at $240k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.79%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,562
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Charter Oak Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,094 (0%) | 10mo | $116,500 | $106 | 86 |
| 4739 Old York Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (+3%) | 12mo | $68,000 | $60 | 68 |
| 812 Mccabe Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $139 | 67 |
| 522 Beaumont Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $211 | 63 |
| 5220 Ready Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (+2%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $90 | 60 |
| 708 Belgian Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+3%) | 7mo | $137,700 | $123 | 58 |
| 739 Springfield Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+6%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 603 Winston Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 4811 Kimberleigh Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,024 (-6%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $234 | 55 |
| 803 Cator Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+1%) | 6mo | $67,500 | $61 | 55 |
| 800 Radnor Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,224 (+12%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $82 | 53 |
| 4727 Kimberleigh Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+12%) | 13mo | $209,000 | $171 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-32,371
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-8,930
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21212
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,162 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,665/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5001 Govane Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,574 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 543 Chateau Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 711 1/2 McCabe Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1204 | $2,350 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5200 Ready Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 720 Springfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1224 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1275 Kitmore Rd Unit 1245K-T Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,895 | $2.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1221 Glenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,595 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3721 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 894 | $1,603 | $1.79 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 500 W University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $3,020 | $3.16 | 1d | 60 | 0.94mi |
| 5622 Midwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3529 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,575 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $2,500 | $2.39 | 4d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 724 E 35th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3501 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 916 | $2,700 | $2.95 | 1d | 172 | 1.19mi |
| 917 Reverdy Rd Unit A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1617 Argonne Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,550 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3221 Guilford Ave Apt A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $2,925 | $2.85 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 816 W 37th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1011 W 42nd St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $2,100 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1020 Dartmouth Glen Way Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $2,250 | $1.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1502 Fernley Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 616 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 10d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1109 W 40th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $2,150 | $2.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4119 Falls Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $239,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 694-char remark
-
2026-06-01$249,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,665 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,665 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,665
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,075
- − Management
- −$2,075
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$3,492
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$838
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,369/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,974
- Household income
- $96,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 769.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -392.44%
- Current HPI
- 267.4569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+744.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $249,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
- 2025-08-15 Sold (MLS) $116,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-28 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,665 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…