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303 Charter Oak Ave
D Composite 41.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

303 Charter Oak Ave · Baltimore, MD 21212
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,094 sqft · Townhouse public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1937

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Action priced! FINALLY!! A rehab that you can invest in and still make a profit! It needs work, but will be quite a bargain with a little sweat equity. Sold "as is". Check the comps on this one--there is nothing in this price range! Seller is long time owner who is happy with a reasonable return. She wants a QUICK settlement and no repair requests. Please do all due diligence prior to submitting an offer. Please submit your highest and best offer. Escalation addendum allowed. NOT an Auction, NOT a foreclosure, NOT a short sale.

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Fully renovated
  • Built 1937

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDOPEN-CONCEPT MAIN LEVELFULLY RENOVATED KITCHENCUSTOM CABINETRYBRIGHT AND AIRY LIVING AREASPACIOUS FULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property condition reported as very good; Below-grade unfinished area reported by assessor
  • Financial info: Ground rent payment: $108 semi-annually; Ownership includes ground rent

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Built year sourced from assessor; Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (paid semi-annually)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the upper level, one on the lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating using natural gas; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; Full basement, partially finished
  • Laundry & utility: Hot water heated by natural gas

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($531/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $116k; list at $240k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,164 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.79%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,562
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
303 Charter Oak Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (0%) 10mo $116,500 $106 86
4739 Old York Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (+3%) 12mo $68,000 $60 68
812 Mccabe Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-1%) 1mo $150,000 $139 67
522 Beaumont Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,140 (+4%) 10mo $240,000 $211 63
5220 Ready Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (+2%) 12mo $100,000 $90 60
708 Belgian Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,124 (+3%) 7mo $137,700 $123 58
739 Springfield Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (+6%) 2mo $125,000 $108 56
603 Winston Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,200 (+10%) 12mo $190,000 $158 56
4811 Kimberleigh Rd 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,024 (-6%) 4mo $240,000 $234 55
803 Cator Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+1%) 6mo $67,500 $61 55
800 Radnor Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,224 (+12%) 2mo $99,900 $82 53
4727 Kimberleigh Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,220 (+12%) 13mo $209,000 $171 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-32,371
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-8,930
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21212

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,162 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,665/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,106
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
531 Willow Ave Unit Na Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 20d 1 0.26mi
5001 Govane Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 23d 1 0.29mi
4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,574 $1.16 43d 1 0.32mi
4407 Old York Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,574 $1.16 20d 1 0.32mi
543 Chateau Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,900 $1.65 4d 1 0.33mi
711 1/2 McCabe Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1204 $2,350 $1.95 4d 1 0.46mi
5200 Ready Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,950 $1.75 3d 1 0.47mi
720 Springfield Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1160 $2,000 $1.72 43d 1 0.53mi
1224 Winston Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,100 $1.68 17d 1 0.78mi
1275 Kitmore Rd Unit 1245K-T Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 935 $1,895 $2.03 4d 1 0.84mi
1221 Glenwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1390 $2,595 $1.87 43d 1 0.85mi
3721 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 894 $1,603 $1.79 1d 1 0.91mi
500 W University Pkwy Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $3,020 $3.16 1d 60 0.94mi
5622 Midwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1452 $2,300 $1.58 43d 1 0.97mi
3529 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,575 $1.20 43d 1 1.07mi
1 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $2,500 $2.39 4d 2 1.11mi
724 E 35th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1368 $2,000 $1.46 14d 1 1.17mi
1545 E Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1240 $2,000 $1.61 43d 1 1.19mi
3501 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.5 916 $2,700 $2.95 1d 172 1.19mi
917 Reverdy Rd Unit A Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,100 $1.75 43d 1 1.22mi
1617 Argonne Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,550 $2.12 43d 1 1.24mi
3221 Guilford Ave Apt A Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1025 $2,925 $2.85 17d 1 1.33mi
816 W 37th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1468 $2,700 $1.84 4d 1 1.36mi
1011 W 42nd St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1160 $2,100 $1.81 4d 1 1.37mi
1020 Dartmouth Glen Way Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1152 $2,250 $1.95 23d 1 1.43mi
1502 Fernley Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,800 $2.07 43d 1 1.44mi
616 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 10d 1 1.45mi
1109 W 40th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 944 $2,150 $2.28 4d 1 1.46mi
4119 Falls Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1316 $2,500 $1.90 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $239,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    remarks 694-char remark
  14. 2026-06-01
    listed $249,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,665 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,665 · $305/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,940
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,665
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,075
− Management
−$2,075
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$3,492
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$838
After-tax cash flow
$1,369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
33,974
Household income
$96,685
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
769.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -392.44%
Current HPI
267.4569
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+744.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $249,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
  • 2025-08-15 Sold (MLS) $116,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,665 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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