🏗️ New Construction
Firefly Plan · Josephine, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$276,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 772 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $277k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (11.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.4% in Josephine — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,076 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 773 days — a 12% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 773 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.08%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,014
- List price
- $276,990
- Delta
- 1.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 Jasmine Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,810 (-1%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $152 | 71 |
| 505 Plum Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,891 (+4%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $140 | 65 |
| 300 Concord Ct | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,095 (+15%) | 2mo | $297,990 | $142 | 62 |
| 506 American Elm Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,916 (+5%) | 3mo | $279,490 | $146 | 60 |
| 306 American Elm Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,916 (+5%) | 7mo | $318,490 | $166 | 57 |
| 404 American Elm Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,916 (+5%) | 5mo | $273,990 | $143 | 56 |
| 406 Shady Bank Way | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,712 (-6%) | 6mo | $319,235 | $186 | 49 |
| 506 Shady Bank Way | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (-6%) | 10mo | $318,990 | $186 | 48 |
| 1402 Centerline Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-11%) | 2mo | $309,990 | $191 | 46 |
| 311 American Elm Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,037 (+12%) | 3mo | $281,490 | $138 | 45 |
| 104 Milton St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,604 (-12%) | 7mo | $247,500 | $154 | 42 |
| 402 American Elm Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,088 (+14%) | 4mo | $295,490 | $142 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $136,212
- Equity at exit
- $245,953
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $411,024
- Equity at exit
- $530,406
Cash invested: $76,444 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75173
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,432
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-8 | -5% $-102 | +0% $-196 | +5% $-291 | +10% $-385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-365 | -5% $-281 | +0% $-196 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-59 | -0.5pp $-127 | base $-196 | +0.5pp $-267 | +1.0pp $-339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,254
- Closing costs
- $8,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Plum Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,899 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,925 | $1.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 504 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,949 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 503 Saddle Blanket Dr Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2077 | $2,190 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 464 N Greenville St Farmersville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 306 E Cook St Josephine, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 214 Crooked Field Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 802 Turnbuckle Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $1,849 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 315 Pine Hollow Way Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6135 FM 547 Farmersville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,295 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 311 Milo Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $2,200 | $1.06 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 305 Silo Cir Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $2,100 | $1.01 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 722 Windmill St Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,190 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 801 Meadow Creek Ln Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 7d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 800 Windmill St Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 800 Windmill St Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 717 Cottonwood WAY Josephine, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2073 | $2,125 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1004 Cotton Gin Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 813 Cottonwood Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2347 | $2,350 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1007 Cotton Gin Ct Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,050 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1307 Community Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2104 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $276,990 Active 773 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $276,990 Active 770 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $276,990 Active 769 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $276,990 Active 768 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $276,990 Active 767 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $276,990 Active 765 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $276,990 Active 764 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $276,990 Active 761 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $276,990 Active 760 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $276,990 Active 759 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $276,990 Active 756 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $276,990 Active 755 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $276,990 Active 754 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $276,990 Active 753 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $276,990 Active 752 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $276,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2026-03-03price $274,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2026-02-07price $277,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-10-31price $274,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-10-30price $284,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-10-30price $274,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-09-24price $284,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-08-06price $299,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-08-03price $298,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2025-03-25price $299,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-10-15price $298,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-08-30price $294,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-08-08price $292,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-07-04price $312,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-06-16price $313,990 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
-
2024-05-10$322,990 Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
As you enter the home from the extended front porch, you're welcomed into the foyer, where two bedrooms sit at the front of the home and share a full bath. Continuing down the hall, you'll find an additional bedroom and a conveniently located laundry room nearby. The heart of the home opens into the kitchen, seamlessly connected to the family room and dining area, creating an inviting space for gathering. A back patio extends off the dining area, offering a spot to enjoy the outdoors. Just off the dining area, the primary bedroom features a spacious walk-in closet and a private primary bath.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,293
- − Property taxes
- −$4,095
- − Insurance
- −$1,365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$7,942
- Taxable loss
- −$7,128
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,711
- After-tax cash flow
- $-647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Josephine
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #19105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Josephine, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,284
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.09%
- Current HPI
- 331.12
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-14.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $276,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $274,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $277,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $274,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $284,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $274,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $284,990 Zillow
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
- 2025-08-03 Price Changed $298,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-25 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $298,990 Zillow
- 2024-08-30 Price Changed $294,990 Zillow
- 2024-08-08 Price Changed $292,990 Zillow
- 2024-07-04 Price Changed $312,990 Zillow
- 2024-06-16 Price Changed $313,990 Zillow
- 2024-05-10 Listed $322,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
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