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3490 Briar Bay Blvd #206 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 40.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$249,900

3490 Briar Bay Blvd #206 · West Palm Beach, FL 33411
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Condo public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2003 $361/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Lake views
  • Newer appliances

Tags

CORNER UNITGATED COMMUNITYLAKE VIEWSPRIVATE SCREENED PORCHTILE FLOORINGNEWER APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed (restrictions possible); Community contains 288 units
  • HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee $361; HOA covers structure maintenance, sewer, trash, water, and roof repairs; Community amenities include management, parking, sidewalks, and street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 2 open parking spaces (2 total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Condominium; Resale condition; 2 stories total
  • Construction: Concrete/CBS construction
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Porch; Waterfront property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating (central individual); Central individual electric cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (36.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (36.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grassy Waters Elementary School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 739 students, 64% FRL); Jeaga Middle School (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #532 of 571 statewide, top 94%, 941 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $91k; list at $250k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,741 (36.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
3.79%
Cash-on-cash
-8.95%
DSCR
0.60
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$98,716
Equity at exit
$225,130
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$309,155
Equity at exit
$485,501

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33411

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
574
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,114 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$416 /mo · $4,990/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$361
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$-522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,774
Max offer price $157,741
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3490 Briar Bay Blvd West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,800 $1.96 3d 1 0.03mi
3490 Briar Bay Blvd #104 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 883 $1,799 $2.04 14d 1 0.03mi
3512 Briar Bay Blvd #105 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 883 $2,000 $2.27 7d 1 0.19mi
3760 N Jog Rd #204 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 863 $1,900 $2.20 24d 1 0.22mi
3760 N Jog Rd West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1375 $2,500 $1.82 24d 1 0.23mi
3790 N Jog Rd #203 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 863 $1,850 $2.14 7d 1 0.24mi
3810 N Jog Rd West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,950 $2.16 7d 2 0.26mi
3504 Briar Bay Blvd #205 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 863 $1,850 $2.14 24d 1 0.31mi
3504 Briar Bay Blvd #205 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 863 $1,800 $2.09 4d 1 0.31mi
179 Canterbury H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,200 $1.50 1d 1 0.60mi
179 Canterbury H Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,200 $1.50 24d 1 0.60mi
1 Canterbury A Unit A West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,595 $2.00 24d 1 0.61mi
79 Dorchester E Unit 79 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,500 $1.88 24d 1 0.67mi
6516 Morgan Hill Trl #1809 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1086 $2,050 $1.89 2d 1 0.70mi
245 Northampton M West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,700 $2.13 5d 1 0.71mi
2944 Hidden Hills Rd #1604 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1450 $2,390 $1.65 24d 1 0.73mi
2904 Hidden Hills Rd Unit 904 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1379 $2,200 $1.60 24d 1 0.73mi
2912 Hidden Hills Rd #1205 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1423 $2,400 $1.69 24d 1 0.74mi
6549 Diamond Springs Ter #2004 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1362 $2,300 $1.69 2d 1 0.74mi
144 Dorchester G West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,700 $2.13 10d 1 0.75mi
144 Dorchester G West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,700 $2.13 11d 1 0.75mi
2905 Hidden Hills Rd #2203 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1086 $2,100 $1.93 24d 1 0.77mi
145 Northampton H Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,800 $2.26 7d 1 0.81mi
3130 N Jog Rd West Palm Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1145 $2,843 $2.48 2d 19 0.82mi
74 Sheffield D Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,400 $1.75 24d 1 0.87mi
75 Sheffield D Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,600 $2.01 1d 1 0.88mi
115 Camden E West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 798 $1,600 $2.01 24d 1 0.91mi
149 Stratford N West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 978 $1,650 $1.69 24d 1 0.93mi
146 Somerset Cres Unit 146 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 874 $2,000 $2.29 20d 1 1.08mi
222 Somerset L West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 874 $1,850 $2.12 1d 1 1.10mi
163 Somerset H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 874 $1,500 $1.72 24d 1 1.12mi
6386 Emerald Dunes Dr West Palm Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $2,650 $2.50 2d 2 1.19mi
6386 Emerald Dunes Dr West Palm Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $2,650 $2.50 14d 2 1.19mi
6533 Emerald Dunes Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1058 $2,200 $2.08 2d 2 1.19mi
6386 Emerald Dunes Dr #201 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1381 $2,650 $1.92 24d 1 1.19mi
6559 Emerald Dunes Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $2,500 $2.36 24d 2 1.23mi
6418 Emerald Dunes Dr #305 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1262 $2,250 $1.78 24d 1 1.24mi
6529 Emerald Dunes Dr Unit 319 Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1058 $2,000 $1.89 24d 1 1.25mi
6510 Emerald Dunes Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1262 $2,225 $1.76 18d 2 1.26mi
6505 Emerald Dunes Dr Unit 315 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1226 $2,000 $1.63 24d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$361 · $4,332/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    listed $249,900 Active
  15. 2026-04-07
    historical $2,000
  16. 2026-03-31
    listed $2,000
  17. 2026-03-30
    historical $2,000
  18. 2026-01-03
    listed $2,000
  19. 2026-01-02
    historical $2,100
  20. 2025-12-30
    listed $2,100
  21. 2025-12-29
    historical $2,100
  22. 2025-11-01
    listed $2,100
  23. 2025-11-01
    historical $2,100
  24. 2025-10-31
    listed $2,100
  25. 2016-03-02
    soldstatus $91,000
  26. 2016-02-25
    soldstatus $91,000 Closed 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  27. 2016-01-13
    historical Contingent 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  28. 2015-08-05
    price $97,000 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  29. 2015-06-25
    status Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  30. 2015-06-24
    listed $99,000 Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  31. 2015-06-24
    historical 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    A wonderful unit in a great community, located very near the turnpike for easy travel. Shopping and entertainment close by. Great for investor, or move here yourself!

  32. 2012-04-11
    soldstatus $97,000
  33. 2011-12-23
    soldstatus $62,000
  34. 2011-12-13
    historical
  35. 2011-12-12
    listed $60,000
  36. 2009-06-05
    historical
  37. 2008-06-06
    listed $149,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,990 · $416/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,990 · $416/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,363
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$4,990
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,029
− Management
−$2,029
− HOA
−$4,332
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$10,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,528
After-tax cash flow
$-3,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Palm Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1255

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Palm Beach, FL
County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
222,012
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
76,863
Household income
$92,591
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
1870.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.04%
Current HPI
903.78
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.7% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $249,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Rental Removed $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2026-03-31 Listed for Rent $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2026-03-30 Rental Removed $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2026-01-03 Listed for Rent $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2026-01-02 Rental Removed $2,100 RENTSPREE
  • 2025-12-30 Listed for Rent $2,100 RENTSPREE
  • 2025-12-29 Rental Removed $2,100 GFLMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $2,100 GFLMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Rental Removed $2,100 RMLSFL
  • 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent $2,100 RMLSFL
  • 2016-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-25 Sold (MLS) $91,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2016-01-13 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2015-08-05 Price Changed $97,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-06-25 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2015-06-24 Listed $99,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-06-24 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2012-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-23 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2011-12-13 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2011-12-12 Listed $60,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2009-06-05 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2008-06-06 Listed $149,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,990 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…