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683 Merlin St #4630
D+ Composite 46.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$37,500

683 Merlin St #4630 · North Salt Lake, UT 84054
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 118 Days on market
Built 1976 435 sqft lot $1200/mo HOA · 59% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Open floor plan
  • New water heater

Tags

NEW WATER HEATERNEW FURNACEOPEN FLOOR PLANLVP FLOORINGGAS STOVEINCLUDED WASHER AND DRYER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (HOA membership); Association fee approximately $1,200; Community clubhouse; Subdivision: CAMELOT PARK

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (covered) for 2 vehicles; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected (culinary and pressurized irrigation)
  • Home design: Mobile home; Built/standing condition; Zoned MOB
  • Construction: Aluminum and clapboard/masonite exterior; Rolled-silver and rubber roof
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Open porch; Double-pane windows; Storage shed(s); Full landscaping; Mature trees; Corner lot; Curb and gutter; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas central); Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom; Disposal; Gas range (free standing); Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#57 in UT, #3,560 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Adelaide School (math 35% / reading 30%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 419 students, 50% FRL); South Davis Jr High (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 138 statewide, top 70%, 1,095 students, 25% FRL); Woods Cross High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 171 statewide, top 34%, 1,567 students, 16% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,125 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.46%
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
17.99%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$12,091
Equity at exit
$5,591
10-year hold
IRR
38.1%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$59,042
Equity at exit
$3,242

Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84054

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,046 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$197
Tax est. 1.5%
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$1,200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,847
Max offer price $37,500
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,375
Closing costs
$1,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3371 S Orchard Dr Bountiful, UT 2.0 2.5 1267 $2,200 $1.74 14d 1 0.46mi
2767 S 625 W Bountiful, UT 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,900 $1.36 23d 1 0.51mi
260 E Kirsten Ln North Salt Lake, UT 3.0 2.5 1559 $2,095 $1.34 14d 1 0.53mi
2720 S Orchard Dr North Salt Lake, UT 1.0–2.0 1.0 860 $1,287 $1.50 14d 2 0.73mi
2323 S 800 W Woods Cross, UT 2.0–3.0 2.5 1476 $2,299 $1.56 10d 1 0.73mi
153 Bamberger Rd North Salt Lake, UT 3.0 2.5 1171 $1,699 $1.45 23d 1 0.83mi
2720 S Orchard Dr Bountiful, UT 2.0 1.0 970 $1,287 $1.33 23d 1 0.89mi
2583 S 200 W Bountiful, UT 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,850 $1.42 23d 1 1.03mi
2030 S Main St Bountiful, UT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,700 $2.06 13d 13 1.09mi
2035 S Main St Bountiful, UT 3.0 3.0 1650 $2,650 $1.61 23d 1 1.13mi
110 S Main St North Salt Lake, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1071 $2,390 $2.23 1d 14 1.18mi
47 W 100 S North Salt Lake, UT 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,349 $1.20 23d 1 1.19mi
2001 S Main St Bountiful, UT 2.0 2.0 1077 $1,450 $1.35 14d 1 1.26mi
325 S Orchard Dr North Salt Lake, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 968 $2,300 $2.37 1d 31 1.36mi
1752 S 440 W Woods Cross, UT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 23d 1 1.37mi
1771 Renaissance Towne Dr Bountiful, UT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1052 $2,251 $2.14 14d 6 1.38mi
11 E 2200 S Bountiful, UT 3.0 2.5 1763 $2,550 $1.45 23d 1 1.40mi
842 W 1500 S Apt 4 Woods Cross, UT 2.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 14d 1 1.41mi
790 N Cutler Dr North Salt Lake, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1048 $2,243 $2.14 2d 6 1.46mi
453 W 1500 S Bountiful, UT 2.0 1.0 930 $1,650 $1.77 13d 16 1.47mi
950 N Cutler Dr North Salt Lake, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $2,059 $1.98 19d 20 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$1,200 · $14,400/yr

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $37,500 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $37,500 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $37,500 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,500 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,500 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,500 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-04-24
    price $37,500
  8. 2026-03-25
    price $49,999
  9. 2026-03-05
    price $54,999
  10. 2026-02-14
    price $59,990
  11. 2026-02-07
    listed $69,999 Active
  12. 2008-08-13
    soldstatus 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  13. 2008-07-03
    listed $22,900 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,556
− Mortgage interest
−$2,101
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$188
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,964
− Management
−$1,964
− HOA
−$14,400
− Depreciation
−$1,091
Taxable income
$2,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$549
After-tax cash flow
$1,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davis District
NCES district ID
4900210
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,511
Composite
40.59/100
National rank
#3698
State rank
#28 of 80 in UT

Livability — North Salt Lake

Score
76/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#3560

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Salt Lake, UT
County
Davis County · 341,755 people
City population
22,355
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
Population (ZIP)
22,355
Household income
$101,860
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
426.0

Population outlook (Davis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
399,271 people
By 2030
430,528 · +7.8%
By 2040
493,485 · +23.6%
By 2050
555,187 · +39.1%
By 2075
688,589 · +72.5%
By 2100
769,646 · +92.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Davis

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.0% · R 60.8% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+17.4pp toward D · 2008: -42.3pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+27.5 2016: R+23.3 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+42.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -341.91%
Current HPI
275.9596
Rent YoY
▲ 6.46%
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $37,500 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $49,999 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $54,999 WFRMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $59,990 WFRMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $69,999 WFRMLS
  • 2008-08-13 Sold (MLS) WFRMLS
  • 2008-07-03 Listed $22,900 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…