1501 Avalon Ave · Albany, GA 31707

$89,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market

Built 1949 9,583 sqft lot Est $74k · 20% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.5/30.0
• DSCR +7.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Rent growth +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity. Add this income producing property to your portfolio today. Contact your Realtor today for more information.

Key facts

• 9,583 sq ft lot
• Built 1949
• Listed 74 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $89k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.77%
• DSCR: 1.39
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $73,920
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1305 Highland Ave	0.41mi	3/1.0	918 (-4%)	6mo	$58,500	$64	68
1709 Gillespie Ave	0.30mi	3/1.0	1,042 (+8%)	17mo	$80,000	$77	58
1013 Whitney Ave	0.72mi	3/1.0	996 (+4%)	3mo	$13,830	$14	58
1704 W Highland Ave	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	900 (-6%)	14mo	$78,000	$87	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.09×
• Total profit: $2,188
• Equity at exit: $13,270

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.59×
• Total profit: $39,641
• Equity at exit: $7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31707

• Rents YoY: 9.4%
• Active inventory: 184
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $950 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$467
• Tax from tax record: −$65 /mo · $776/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$200
• Net cashflow: $182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $720

Max offer price $89,000

Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,250
• Closing costs: $2,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1502 Gillespie Ave Albany, GA	3.0	1.0	1104	$875	$0.79	21d	1	0.07mi
1214 Gillespie Ave Unit 1 Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	800	$800	$1.00	21d	1	0.37mi
1210 Gillespie Ave Unit A Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	650	$550	$0.85	21d	1	0.38mi
410 Endicott Ln Albany, GA	3.0	2.0	1080	$1,295	$1.20	21d	1	0.77mi
309 S Cleveland St Unit 309 Cleveland-A Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	804	$650	$0.81	21d	1	0.80mi
2133 W Gordon Ave Albany, GA	2.0	2.0	840	$750	$0.89	21d	1	0.90mi
1204 Julia Ave Apt B Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	796	$900	$1.13	21d	1	0.93mi
1308 Maryland Dr Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	988	$750	$0.76	21d	1	1.20mi
727 Lippitt Dr Albany, GA	2.0	1.0	525	$750	$1.43	21d	1	1.37mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $89,000 Active 72 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $89,000 Active 71 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $89,000 Active 69 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $89,000 Active 68 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $89,000 Active 65 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
13. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
14. 2026-04-09
    status Active
15. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
16. 2024-02-20
    listed $89,000 Active
17. 2022-12-05
    soldstatus $916,630

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $776 · $65/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $819 · $68/mo
• Expected delta: +$43/yr (+$4/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,402
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,985
• − Property taxes: −$776
• − Insurance: −$445
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$912
• − Management: −$912
• − Depreciation: −$2,589
• Taxable income: $782
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$188
• After-tax cash flow: $1,998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dougherty County
• NCES district ID: 1301830
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $33,105
• Composite: 11.31/100
• National rank: #9716
• State rank: #163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #371
• US rank: #18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Albany, GA
• County: Dougherty County · 89,040 people
• City population: 89,040
• Metro: Albany, GA
• Population (ZIP): 22,679
• Household income: $50,862
• Rent vs Own: 57.3% rent · 42.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1572.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,551 people
• By 2030: 80,637 · -4.6%
• By 2040: 72,090 · -14.7%
• By 2050: 64,056 · -24.2%
• By 2075: 46,332 · -45.2%
• By 2100: 33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -130.86%
• Current HPI: 173.4443
• Rent YoY: ▲ 9.39%
• Metro: Albany, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-90.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Pending — SWGABOR
• 2026-04-09 Relisted — SWGABOR
• 2026-03-27 Pending — SWGABOR
• 2024-02-20 Listed $89,000 SWGABOR
• 2022-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $916,630 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $776 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.