503 Correll Ave · Wharton, TX 77488

$40,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1970 6,599 sqft lot ↓ 30% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Fixer-Upper Opportunity! This property is being sold as-is and the home is currently non-habitable. The house requires extensive repairs but offers incredible potential for a reconstruction project or a rebuild. Situated in Wharton with easy access to Tx-60 and a few minutes to State Hwy 59, this home offers a great opportunity for anyone looking to create their dream home!

Key facts

• 6,599 sq ft lot
• Built 1970
• Listed 3 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 3.2% in Wharton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#693 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Wharton ISD (town): math 28% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #651 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Wharton J H (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 369 students, 77% FRL); Wharton H S (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 570 students, 74% FRL).
• Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 191 units permitted in Wharton County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.72% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 60.60%
• DSCR: 3.70
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.24×
• Total profit: $2,661
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.33×
• Total profit: $14,891
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77488

• Home prices YoY: -25.3%
• Active inventory: 164
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,086 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$66 /mo · $795/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$228
• Net cashflow: $139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $910

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-19
   statusdays on market $40,000 Pending 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $40,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $40,000 Active 1 DOM
4. 2026-04-07
   status Pending
5. 2026-03-23
   status Active
6. 2026-03-23
   price $35,000
7. 2025-08-17
   status Pending
8. 2025-08-11
   status Active
9. 2025-08-11
   price $40,000
10. 2025-07-30
    historical
11. 2025-07-07
    price $47,500
12. 2025-04-03
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $795 · $66/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $795 · $66/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,037
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$795
• − Insurance: −$5,318
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,043
• − Management: −$1,043
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $1,433
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$344
• After-tax cash flow: $1,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wharton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4845380
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $38,558
• Composite: 24.69/100
• National rank: #7617
• State rank: #651 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wharton

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #693
• US rank: #12966

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wharton, TX
• Population (ZIP): 14,129

Population outlook (Wharton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,448 people
• By 2030: 42,726 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 43,042 · +1.4%
• By 2050: 43,368 · +2.2%
• By 2075: 44,962 · +5.9%
• By 2100: 44,510 · +4.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% White 36% Black 22% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Scottish 2% Danish 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wharton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.8% · R 75.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.7pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -51.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+39.1 2008: R+31.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -63.29%
• Current HPI: 186.7798
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-30.0% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-23 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-03-23 Price Changed $35,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-17 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-08-11 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-08-11 Price Changed $40,000 HARMLS
• 2025-07-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-07-07 Price Changed $47,500 HARMLS
• 2025-04-03 Listed $50,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $795 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.