2421 5th St · Trenton, MI 48183

$75,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1925 1,742 sqft lot Est $135k · 44% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +4.4/5.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

What an opportunity to invest in the future. Updated Ranch near Downtown Trenton. Kitchen and bath recently updated. All appliances included Stove, Refrigerator, dishwasher, washer and dryer. Park and shopping near by. Easy to view.

Key facts

• Updated ranch
• Shopping near by
• Park near by

Tags

• UPDATED RANCH
• KITCHEN RECENTLY UPDATED
• BATH RECENTLY UPDATED
• ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED
• PARK NEAR BY
• SHOPPING NEAR BY

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; no garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Wood siding construction
• Construction: Asphalt roof
• Exterior features: Porch; Back yard fencing; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Gas water heater
• Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
• Interior features: Unfurnished; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Washer included; Gas dryer hookup; Dryer included

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.1% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 88/100 on livability (#15 in MI, #250 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
• Trenton Public Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #109 of 540 in MI (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $40k; list at $75k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.59% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.80%
• DSCR: 1.70
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $134,664
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2419 4th St	0.07mi	2/1.0	748 (+0%)	16mo	$132,000	$176	83
2358 Superior St	0.11mi	2/1.0	830 (+12%)	24mo	$150,000	$181	55
3416 Elizabeth Dr	0.64mi	2/1.0	780 (+5%)	19mo	$152,000	$195	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $5,566
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.33×
• Total profit: $27,967
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48183

• Active inventory: 171
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,194 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$242 /mo · $2,907/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$251
• Net cashflow: $276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $844

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3854 Fort St Unit 3 Trenton, MI	1.0	1.0	600	$925	$1.54	1d	1	1.28mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $75,000 Pending 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   remarks 232-char remark
3. 2026-06-04
   listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,907 · $242/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,907 · $242/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,329
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$2,907
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,146
• − Management: −$1,146
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $2,371
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$569
• After-tax cash flow: $2,749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Trenton Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2633900
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $55,947
• Composite: 42.08/100
• National rank: #3321
• State rank: #109 of 540 in MI

Livability — Trenton

• Score: 88/100
• State rank: #15
• US rank: #250

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Trenton, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 41,765
• Household income: $83,508
• Rent vs Own: 23.8% rent · 76.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 836.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 15% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -222.34%
• Current HPI: 216.3623
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+67.0% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-06-03 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
• 2019-09-25 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2019-09-25 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
• 2019-09-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2019-09-10 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2019-08-26 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2019-08-26 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,907 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.