Duplex
28 Horton Pl · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This two family live in or investment opportunity is available again! Available for $299,900 after appraising for $335,000. Don't miss the opportunity this time. Home has been updated over the last few years with new kitchens and baths, paint, flooring, fixtures. All appliances are included. Lower is ready to move into with a tenant in the upper.
Key facts
- New kitchens
- New baths
- Included appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.
- This rent per unit runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $508/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $295k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.9% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $300k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.52%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $573,086
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -47.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192 Northland Ave | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 2,438 (+0%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $87 | 73 |
| 933 Lafayette Ave | 0.07mi | 6/2.0 | 2,182 (-10%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $69 | 64 |
| 55 Beverly Rd | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 | 2,402 (-1%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $119 | 61 |
| 21 Horton Pl | 0.03mi | 6/3.0 | 2,744 (+13%) | 16mo | $505,000 | $184 | 61 |
| 1598 Delaware Ave | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,580 (+6%) | 9mo | $380,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 35 Florida St | 0.29mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-10%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 56 Eastwood Pl | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,487 (+2%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $101 | 58 |
| 26 Pleasant Pl | 0.68mi | 6/2.0 | 2,346 (-4%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 148 Northland Ave | 0.47mi | 6/2.0 | 2,670 (+10%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 169 Florida St | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 2,138 (-12%) | 6mo | $258,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 130 E Delavan Ave Unit N | 0.56mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,258 (-7%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $51 | 42 |
| 159 Purdy St | 0.59mi | 6/2.0 | 2,080 (-14%) | 9mo | $212,500 | $102 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $101,857
- Equity at exit
- $116,065
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $329,798
- Equity at exit
- $165,444
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 28 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.4 mo (16%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $269,900 ($96/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- 71% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +144.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 14209
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,555 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$747
- Net cashflow
- $1,016
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $3,556 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,778 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,778 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,555 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,186 | -5% $1,101 | +0% $1,016 | +5% $931 | +10% $846 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $735 | -5% $876 | +0% $1,016 | +5% $1,157 | +10% $1,297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,167 | -0.5pp $1,092 | base $1,016 | +0.5pp $938 | +1.0pp $859 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 119d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 70 Harvard Pl Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $2,125 | $3.13 | 0d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,677 | $1.51 | 139d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1786 Main St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,677 | $1.51 | 10d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,875 | $1.49 | 139d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 845 Potomac Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2652 | $1,500 | $0.57 | 10d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1661 Main St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,845 | $1.63 | 4d | 3 | 0.30mi |
| 1275 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $2,200 | $2.61 | 10d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 1310 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,275 | $1.86 | 139d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 822 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 85d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 75 Inwood Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,550 | $1.32 | 139d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 538 Linwood Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 10d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 538 Linwood Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,695 | $1.74 | 7d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 88 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 93d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1560 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 119d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 753 Lafayette Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 93d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 37 Inwood Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5696 | $1,600 | $0.28 | 82d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 37 Inwood Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7 Berkley Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2879 | $1,250 | $0.43 | 99d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 490 Linwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 98 E Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3105 | $2,000 | $0.64 | 139d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 945 W Ferry St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $2,151 | $1.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 99d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 119d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1165 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,250 | $1.90 | 139d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2310 | $1,200 | $0.52 | 10d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 110d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 677 W Delavan Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 433 Linwood Ave Apt 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,300 | — | 139d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 433 Linwood Ave Unit 433 Linwood 4 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,700 | — | 139d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 182 Lancaster Ave #1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 110d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 140d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2 Agassiz Cir Unit B Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $1,950 | $1.98 | 88d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,050 | $1.91 | 88d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 77 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2124 | $2,550 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2075 Main St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,630 | $1.87 | 7d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 95 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,550 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 95 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $2,300 | $1.74 | 88d | 1 | 0.67mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Owner pays water; tenants pay all other utilitiesOperating expenses may include insurance, structure maintenance, general maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking
- Concrete surface, no driveway
- Utilities
- Electricity connected (circuit breakers)Water connected (public)Sewer connectedCable availableHigh-speed internet available
- Home design
- Two-story multi-family (Residential 2 Unit)
- Construction
- Brick and frame constructionCopper plumbingAsphalt roofBlock foundationExisting condition
- Exterior features
- Near public transitRectangular residential lotCity street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- Each unit includes a dining area with kitchen and a formal dining room
- Bedrooms
- Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring
- Ceramic tileHardwoodVaried flooring
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling
- Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Thermal windowsFull basement
- Laundry & utility
- Gas water heater (building)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $299,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $299,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $299,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $299,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $299,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $299,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $299,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $299,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $299,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-28remarks 348-char remark
-
2026-08-28days on market $299,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $299,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $299,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $299,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $299,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $299,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $299,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $299,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $299,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $299,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $299,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $299,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $299,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $299,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $299,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $299,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $299,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $299,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $299,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $299,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $299,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-26statusdays on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-02$299,900 Active
-
2025-11-20historical
-
2025-09-17$329,900 Active
-
2025-08-24historical
-
2025-06-17price $349,900
-
2025-05-04historical $1,500
-
2025-05-01$1,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,102 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,966/yr (+$164/mo · 173.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,136
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,413
- − Management
- −$3,413
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $7,675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,842
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This multi-family home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including siding and roof replacement, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — Signs of wear and tear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair and replace siding — New siding will improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the home's appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 933,037 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,313
- Household income
- $50,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Current HPI
- 443.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.53%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+233.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-28 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-08-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-07-24 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $329,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-24 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $349,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-04 Rental Removed $1,500 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,500 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-02-26 Listed $359,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-11-16 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-30 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-04 Rental Removed $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2024-07-24 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2022-12-08 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2018-09-07 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2018-04-09 Listed $299,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,136 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…