4014 Meadow Ln · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Want to add to your rental portfolio with a long-term tenant already in place through 2026? This home has it! 3 bedroom 1 bath home centrally located to anything in Chattanooga.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 98 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with other/unspecified materials
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-186/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (1.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Dalewood Middle School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #278 of 333 statewide, top 85%, 258 students, 0% FRL); Brainerd High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $185k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.36%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,280
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2756 Harrison Pike | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 948 (-1%) | 5mo | $216,000 | $228 | 82 |
| 3924 Meadow Lane Ln | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 967 (+1%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $243 | 78 |
| 2737 Harrison Pike | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-8%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $68 | 71 |
| 2735 Addison Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+9%) | 12mo | $197,500 | $188 | 65 |
| 3517 Taylor St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 24mo | $209,000 | $218 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-28,059
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-13,233
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37406
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,369 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $593/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2215 Allin St Unit A Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $899 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4116 Maple Terrace Ln Unit B Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4120 Maple Terrace Ln Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2829 New Jersey Ave Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2512 Boone St Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2405 Harley St Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,199 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2603 Dodson Ave Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-12$185,000 Active
-
2006-08-12$77,900
-
2004-08-04$72,500
-
2000-12-29soldstatus $61,697
-
2000-12-29$61,697
-
2000-12-29soldstatus $61,697
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $593 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,314 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$720/yr (+$60/mo · 121.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$593
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,314
- − Management
- −$1,314
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,467
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$832
- After-tax cash flow
- $646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chattanooga, TN
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,364
- Household income
- $44,850
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.73%
- Current HPI
- 203.5858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+199.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $185,000 GCAR
- 2006-08-12 Listed $77,900 RCAOR
- 2004-08-04 Listed $72,500 RCAOR
- 2000-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $61,697 Public Records
- 2000-12-29 Listed $61,697 GCAR
- 2000-12-29 Sold (MLS) $61,697 GCAR
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $593 · +27.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…