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514 Tack Ln
D Composite 43.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$475,000

514 Tack Ln · Midland, NC 28107
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,482 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 2017 0.34 ac lot Est $516k · 8% under $56/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained home set on a spacious lot with a manicured lawn and inviting front porch. Inside, you’ll find a bright, comfortable interior with plenty of natural light. The open layout works well for both everyday living and gatherings around a cozy fire with gas logs. The dining room flows into the kitchen which opens to the main living area. The kitchen has granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, large island, pantry and beautiful luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main floor. A half-bath on the main floor is always guest ready. Upstairs offers generously sized bedrooms, including the primary suite with tray ceiling and large windows, ensuite bath wi

Key facts

  • Inviting front porch
  • Large island
  • Manicured lawn

Tags

MANICURED LAWNINVITING FRONT PORCHGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSUBWAY TILE BACKSPLASHLARGE ISLANDLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoning: CR; Directions: Use GPS
  • HOA & community: Homeowner association managed by Kuester Management Group; HOA required; annual fee of $667; Community amenities include outdoor pool, playground, pond, and walking trails

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage (garage faces front); Driveway; 2 open parking spaces; On-street parking available
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Fiber optics available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Hardboard siding
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Hardboard siding; Composition roof; Built on slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Level, wooded lot; Concrete and paved roads; publicly maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Plumbed for ice maker; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Attic with pull-down stairs; Kitchen island; Gas fireplace in living room; Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-419/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $469k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $375k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $375k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#157 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cabarrus County Schools (rural): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #44 of 178 in NC (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bethel Elementary (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 609 students, 48% FRL); Hickory Ridge Middle (math 73% / reading 68%, grade A, #17 of 475 statewide, top 4%, 935 students, 17% FRL); Hickory Ridge High (math 70% / reading 74%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 1,720 students, 19% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,485 units permitted in Cabarrus County in 2024 (677 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cabarrus County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $375,000 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$516,256
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11521 Vista Ridge Ct 0.07mi 3/2.5 2,592 (+4%) 19mo $450,000 $174 74
10071 Fox Trotter Ln 0.36mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,537 (+2%) 2mo $495,000 $195 71
11247 Serenity Farm Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 2,304 (-7%) 6mo $480,000 $208 56
10883 Sparkle Creek Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,301 (-7%) 1mo $510,000 $222 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-79,313
Equity at exit
$70,824
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-72,410
Equity at exit
$41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28107

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,031/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$56
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$788
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,794
Max offer price $468,832
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $234 -5% $100 +0% $-35 +5% $-169 +10% $-304
Rent -10% $-331 -5% $-183 +0% $-35 +5% $113 +10% $261
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $86 base $-35 +0.5pp $-158 +1.0pp $-283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1571 Morrison Rd Concord, NC 3.0 3.0 2600 $3,750 $1.44 14d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$56 · $672/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $475,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $475,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $475,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $475,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $475,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $475,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $475,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $475,000 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $484,500 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $484,500 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $484,500 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $484,500 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $484,500 Active 57 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $488,000
  16. 2026-04-04
    listed $495,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,031 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,895 · $325/mo
Expected delta
+$864/yr (+$72/mo · 28.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,000
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$3,031
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,600
− Management
−$3,600
− HOA
−$672
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable loss
−$8,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,089
After-tax cash flow
$1,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cabarrus County Schools
NCES district ID
3700530
Math proficiency
54% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$59,442
Composite
47.42/100
National rank
#2282
State rank
#44 of 178 in NC

Livability — Midland

Score
69/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#8668

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
9,638
Population (ZIP)
9,638

Population outlook (Cabarrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
239,273 people
By 2030
260,754 · +9.0%
By 2040
303,953 · +27.0%
By 2050
344,827 · +44.1%
By 2075
435,623 · +82.1%
By 2100
490,119 · +104.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cabarrus

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.7) · D 45.5% · R 53.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+10.7pp toward D · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -7.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.7 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+20.2 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.24%
Current HPI
275.7602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $488,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $495,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+26.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,031 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…