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12 Roth Ave
D+ Composite 45.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,900

12 Roth Ave · Longswamp, PA 19539
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1993 $31/sqft · 85% below area $790/mo HOA · 41% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Country View in the Brandywine Heights School District, nestled in the peaceful community of Mertztown. This 3-bedroom home offers comfortable living spaces and is ready for its next owner to bring it to life. The spacious master suite is partially finished with a functioning toilet and roughed-in plumbing, giving you a blank slate to complete it with your own style and finishes. The large kitchen flows nicely into the adjacent dining area, ideal for both formal meals and casual entertaining. You’ll also love the modern laundry room with brand-new cabinetry for added convenience. A large bonus room provides tons of flexibility and can easily become a home office, playroom, game room, or entertainment space. Outside, you’ll enjoy the convenience of an extra storage shed.

Key facts

  • Modern laundry room
  • Large kitchen
  • Adjacent dining area

Tags

SPACIOUS MASTER SUITEFUNCTIONING TOILETROUGHED-IN PLUMBINGLARGE KITCHENADJACENT DINING AREAMODERN LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a federal flood zone
  • Financial info: Ground rent paid annually
  • HOA & community: HOA fee $790 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); On-street parking; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electric cooling fuel; Oil heating fuel; Community water; Community septic tank; No municipal trash service
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home (Fleetwood); Frame construction with T-1-11 and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Entry level/main living on one level; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction with T-1-11 and vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Deck(s); Shed; Park: Country View

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Range hood; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms (including a master bedroom)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Rough-in (flooring)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil-fired); Ceiling fans and window air conditioning units; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Living room, dining room, family room; 2+ access exits; No basement; Finished above-grade living area per assessor
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer and dryer on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brandywine Heights Area SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #241 of 658 in PA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.59%
Cap rate
23.69%
Cash-on-cash
62.13%
DSCR
3.76
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$240,088
List price
$34,900
Delta
-85.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.7%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$27,087
Equity at exit
$5,204
10-year hold
IRR
66.4%
Equity multiple
7.88×
Total profit
$67,183
Equity at exit
$3,018

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19539

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $564/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$790
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,310
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 Barclay St Mertztown, PA 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,950 $1.95 43d 1 0.53mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$790 · $9,480/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    Welcome to Country View in the Brandywine Heights School District, nestled in the peaceful community of Mertztown. This 3-bedroom home offers comfortable living spaces and is ready for its next owner to bring it to life. The spacious master suite is partially finished with a functioning toilet and roughed-in plumbing, giving you a blank slate to complete it with your own style and finishes. The large kitchen flows nicely into the adjacent dining area, ideal for both formal meals and casual entertaining. You’ll also love the modern laundry room with brand-new cabinetry for added convenience. A large bonus room provides tons of flexibility and can easily become a home office, playroom, game room, or entertainment space. Outside, you’ll enjoy the convenience of an extra storage shed.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    Welcome to Country View in the Brandywine Heights School District, nestled in the peaceful community of Mertztown. This 3-bedroom home offers comfortable living spaces and is ready for its next owner to bring it to life. The spacious master suite is partially finished with a functioning toilet and roughed-in plumbing, giving you a blank slate to complete it with your own style and finishes. The large kitchen flows nicely into the adjacent dining area, ideal for both formal meals and casual entertaining. You’ll also love the modern laundry room with brand-new cabinetry for added convenience. A large bonus room provides tons of flexibility and can easily become a home office, playroom, game room, or entertainment space. Outside, you’ll enjoy the convenience of an extra storage shed.

  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $34,900 Active 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    Welcome to Country View in the Brandywine Heights School District, nestled in the peaceful community of Mertztown. This 3-bedroom home offers comfortable living spaces and is ready for its next owner to bring it to life. The spacious master suite is partially finished with a functioning toilet and roughed-in plumbing, giving you a blank slate to complete it with your own style and finishes. The large kitchen flows nicely into the adjacent dining area, ideal for both formal meals and casual entertaining. You’ll also love the modern laundry room with brand-new cabinetry for added convenience. A large bonus room provides tons of flexibility and can easily become a home office, playroom, game room, or entertainment space. Outside, you’ll enjoy the convenience of an extra storage shed.

  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $34,900 Active 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    Welcome to Country View in the Brandywine Heights School District, nestled in the peaceful community of Mertztown. This 3-bedroom home offers comfortable living spaces and is ready for its next owner to bring it to life. The spacious master suite is partially finished with a functioning toilet and roughed-in plumbing, giving you a blank slate to complete it with your own style and finishes. The large kitchen flows nicely into the adjacent dining area, ideal for both formal meals and casual entertaining. You’ll also love the modern laundry room with brand-new cabinetry for added convenience. A large bonus room provides tons of flexibility and can easily become a home office, playroom, game room, or entertainment space. Outside, you’ll enjoy the convenience of an extra storage shed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$564 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$564 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,400
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$564
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− HOA
−$9,480
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$6,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,552
After-tax cash flow
$4,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandywine Heights Area SD
NCES district ID
4204050
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
51.52/100
National rank
#3670
State rank
#241 of 658 in PA

Livability — Longswamp

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,112

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 9% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.38%
Current HPI
269.7792
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $34,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $564 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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