219 5th Ave NE · Mayville, ND 58257

$85,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market

Built 1910 10,497 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.2/30.0
• DSCR +8.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.24 acre lot
• Built 1910
• Listed 16 days

Tags

• IMMEDIATE RENTAL INCOME

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking only
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
• Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story; Main living area on main level
• Construction: Other foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 24.5 x 26.5
• Exterior features: Vinyl exterior

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main level)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; Other heating system
• Interior features: Main-floor full bathroom; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in ND, #959 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• May-Port Cg 14 (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #19 of 53 in ND (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Traill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Traill County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.60%
• DSCR: 1.43
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $189,240
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
215 5th Ave NE	0.01mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,050 (-8%)	14mo	$79,900	$76	68
114 6th Ave SE	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,205 (+6%)	13mo	$200,000	$166	60
425 3rd St SE	0.43mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,232 (+8%)	9mo	$216,500	$176	50
562 4th St SE	0.52mi	3/1.0	1,040 (-9%)	18mo	$108,200	$104	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.93×
• Total profit: $-1,593
• Equity at exit: $12,674

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $14,439
• Equity at exit: $7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Dakota: 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 58257

• Home prices YoY: -34.2%
• Active inventory: 19
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,057 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$163 /mo · $1,961/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$222
• Net cashflow: $190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $816

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,961 · $163/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,961 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,684
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$1,961
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,015
• − Management: −$1,015
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $1,034
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$248
• After-tax cash flow: $2,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: May-Port Cg 14
• NCES district ID: 3800041
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $50,978
• Composite: 39.53/100
• National rank: #3944
• State rank: #19 of 53 in ND

Livability — Mayville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #2
• US rank: #959

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mayville, ND
• Population (ZIP): 2,275

Population outlook (Traill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 8,107 people
• By 2030: 8,099 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 8,151 · +0.5%
• By 2050: 8,384 · +3.4%
• By 2075: 9,868 · +21.7%
• By 2100: 12,181 · +50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 34% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Traill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -38.8pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.7 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.93%
• Current HPI: 130.6558
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.09%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Utilities / Construction	1	$6B

Price history

-62.2% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,961 · +38.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.