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614 Federal Rd
C+ Composite 62.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

614 Federal Rd · Livermore Falls, ME 04253
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 211 Days on market
Built 1947 2.00 ac lot $192/sqft · 10% below area ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

Key facts

  • First-floor bedroom
  • Wood stove
  • Open yard

Tags

SEASONAL WATER VIEWSWOOD STOVEFIRST-FLOOR BEDROOMFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYOPEN YARD2-BAY GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.7% in Livermore Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • RSU 73 (rural): math 75% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #91 of 112 in ME (top 81%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Spruce Mountain Middle School (math 83% / reading 83%, grade A+, #47 of 85 statewide, top 58%, 358 students, 58% FRL); Spruce Mountain High School (math 84% / reading 95%, grade A+, #49 of 108 statewide, top 50%, 408 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 358 units permitted in Androscoggin County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Androscoggin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.63%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,142
List price
$115,000
Delta
-59.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$13,751
Equity at exit
$39,548
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$48,498
Equity at exit
$52,781

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04253

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,198 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $973
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $210 +0% $178 +5% $145 +10% $113
Rent -10% $83 -5% $130 +0% $178 +5% $225 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $236 -0.5pp $207 base $178 +0.5pp $148 +1.0pp $118

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $115,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  2. 2026-05-14
    price $115,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  3. 2026-04-23
    price $130,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  4. 2026-03-21
    price $130,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  5. 2026-03-06
    status Active 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  6. 2026-03-03
    status Pending 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  7. 2026-01-05
    historical Active Under Contract 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  8. 2025-11-25
    price $174,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  9. 2025-11-06
    price $199,000 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

  10. 2025-10-23
    listed $215,000 Active 1134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1134 chars)

    Welcome to 614 Federal Road in Livermore! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home is hitting the market for the very first time, offering a genuine opportunity to own a piece of Maine at a great value. Inside, the home features a cozy living area with a wood stove, a convenient first-floor bedroom, and first-floor laundry for everyday ease. The layout is a solid starting point, and the property is being sold as is, giving the right buyer the chance to put their own stamp on it. Outside, an open yard surrounded by nature invites gardening, outdoor projects, or simply enjoying Maine in every season. Seasonal water views add an extra layer of charm throughout the year. A private back deck gives you a peaceful spot to unwind and take in the surroundings. The 2-bay garage with an attached workshop and garden shed rounds out the package nicely, with plenty of room for hobbies, storage, or projects. Conveniently located just a short drive from Jay, Turner, and Auburn, this property offers easy access to local amenities while keeping that quiet rural feel intact. First time on the market and priced to move. Come take a look.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,415 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,490 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$74/yr (+$6/mo · 5.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,381
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,415
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,150
− Management
−$1,150
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$73
After-tax cash flow
$2,061/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 73
NCES district ID
2314805
Math proficiency
75% ▲ 50.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▲ 38.00%
Median HH income
$44,547
Composite
65.46/100
National rank
#477
State rank
#91 of 112 in ME

Livability — Livermore Falls

Score
67/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#10818

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,847

Population outlook (Androscoggin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,965 people
By 2030
101,004 · -2.8%
By 2040
93,218 · -10.3%
By 2050
84,222 · -19.0%
By 2075
63,391 · -39.0%
By 2100
43,273 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 19% Slovak 5% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Androscoggin

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.9% · R 52.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 15.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.4 2012: D+12.8 2008: D+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.05%
Current HPI
420.6771
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-46.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $115,000 MREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $115,000 MREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $130,000 MREIS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $130,000 MREIS
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted MREIS
  • 2026-03-03 Pending MREIS
  • 2026-01-05 Contingent MREIS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $174,000 MREIS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $199,000 MREIS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $215,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2018): $1,415 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…