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130 E 16th St
C- Composite 50.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$126,040

130 E 16th St · Ada, OK 74820
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,658 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1940 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

Key facts

  • Gas fireplace
  • Corner lot
  • Statement staircase

Tags

CORNER LOTSTATEMENT STAIRCASEGAS FIREPLACEDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $126k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in Ada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime D-.
  • Ada (town): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #177 of 270 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $871 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,477 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.20%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$303,012
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 S Johnston St 0.46mi 5/4.0 (+1) 2,541 (-4%) 1mo $290,000 $114 57
123 W 19th 0.29mi 4/3.5 2,477 (-7%) 18mo $125,000 $50 54
1000 S Townsend Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,799 (+5%) 21mo $424,000 $151 52
717 S Center 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,484 (-6%) 17mo $135,000 $54 42
1520 S Broadway Blvd 0.75mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,705 (+2%) 24mo $260,000 $96 32
1300 S Mississippi 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,304 (-13%) 10mo $305,000 $132 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,140
Equity at exit
$18,793
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$16,277
Equity at exit
$10,898

Cash invested: $35,291 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74820

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,335 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$661
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,142
Max offer price $126,040
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $224 -5% $189 +0% $153 +5% $117 +10% $82
Rent -10% $47 -5% $100 +0% $153 +5% $206 +10% $258
Rate -1.0pp $216 -0.5pp $185 base $153 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,510
Closing costs
$3,781
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-26
    price $126,040
  3. 2026-02-03
    status Active
  4. 2026-01-14
    status Pending
  5. 2025-12-26
    listed $137,000 Active
  6. 2022-09-14
    soldstatus $178,000
  7. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $177,950 Sold 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  8. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $177,950 Closed 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  9. 2022-07-15
    status Pending 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  10. 2022-07-15
    status Pending 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  11. 2022-07-15
    listed $177,950 Active 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  12. 2022-07-15
    listed $177,950 Active 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.

  13. 2004-03-26
    soldstatus $89,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,260 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,022
− Mortgage interest
−$7,060
− Property taxes
−$2,260
− Insurance
−$630
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$3,667
Taxable loss
−$159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$38
After-tax cash flow
$1,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ada
NCES district ID
4002430
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$33,907
Composite
16.36/100
National rank
#9203
State rank
#177 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ada

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7835

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ada, OK
County
Pontotoc County · 31,943 people
City population
31,943
Metro
Ada, OK
Population (ZIP)
31,943
Household income
$62,357
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
774.0

Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,521 people
By 2030
40,140 · +1.6%
By 2040
41,242 · +4.4%
By 2050
42,293 · +7.0%
By 2075
44,678 · +13.0%
By 2100
46,015 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Native American 19% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.45%
Current HPI
250.7685
Rent YoY
▲ 4.83%
Metro
Ada, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $126,040 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-14 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-26 Listed $137,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $177,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $177,950 MLSOK
  • 2022-07-15 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-15 Pending MLSOK
  • 2022-07-15 Listed $177,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-07-15 Listed $177,950 MLSOK
  • 2004-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,260 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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