130 E 16th St · Ada, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$126,040
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Corner lot
- Statement staircase
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $126k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $126k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in Ada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime D-.
- Ada (town): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #177 of 270 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $871 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.20%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $303,012
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 S Johnston St | 0.46mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,541 (-4%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $114 | 57 |
| 123 W 19th | 0.29mi | 4/3.5 | 2,477 (-7%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $50 | 54 |
| 1000 S Townsend Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,799 (+5%) | 21mo | $424,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 717 S Center | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,484 (-6%) | 17mo | $135,000 | $54 | 42 |
| 1520 S Broadway Blvd | 0.75mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,705 (+2%) | 24mo | $260,000 | $96 | 32 |
| 1300 S Mississippi | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,304 (-13%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $132 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,140
- Equity at exit
- $18,793
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $16,277
- Equity at exit
- $10,898
Cash invested: $35,291 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74820
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,335 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$661
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $224 | -5% $189 | +0% $153 | +5% $117 | +10% $82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $100 | +0% $153 | +5% $206 | +10% $258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $185 | base $153 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,510
- Closing costs
- $3,781
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-02-26price $126,040
-
2026-02-03status Active
-
2026-01-14status Pending
-
2025-12-26$137,000 Active
-
2022-09-14soldstatus $178,000
-
2022-09-02soldstatus $177,950 Sold 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2022-09-02soldstatus $177,950 Closed 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2022-07-15status Pending 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2022-07-15status Pending 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2022-07-15$177,950 Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2022-07-15$177,950 Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Historic Ada colonial type home 4 bed 2 living 2 dining (one of which could be a study) with detached garage and alley on corner lot with an empty lot next door owned by another family.
-
2004-03-26soldstatus $89,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,260 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,060
- − Property taxes
- −$2,260
- − Insurance
- −$630
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,282
- − Management
- −$1,282
- − Depreciation
- −$3,667
- Taxable loss
- −$159
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ada
- NCES district ID
- 4002430
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,907
- Composite
- 16.36/100
- National rank
- #9203
- State rank
- #177 of 270 in OK
Livability — Ada
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #7835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ada, OK
- County
- Pontotoc County · 31,943 people
- City population
- 31,943
- Metro
- Ada, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,943
- Household income
- $62,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,521 people
- By 2030
- 40,140 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 41,242 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 42,293 · +7.0%
- By 2075
- 44,678 · +13.0%
- By 2100
- 46,015 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Native American 19% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.45%
- Current HPI
- 250.7685
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.83%
- Metro
- Ada, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+40.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $126,040 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-03 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-14 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-26 Listed $137,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $177,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $177,950 MLSOK
- 2022-07-15 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-07-15 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-07-15 Listed $177,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-07-15 Listed $177,950 MLSOK
- 2004-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,260 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…