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164 8th St
C Composite 55.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0

$125,000

164 8th St · Renovo, PA 17764
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,161 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1925 2,178 sqft lot $40/sqft · 41% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare find-beautiful woodwork, enclosed front porch, 5 bedrooms, fenced in yard, new roof - surrounded by nearby recreational activities ATVs, fishing @ Bush Dam, hiking, hunting in the Cross Fork area.

Key facts

  • Fenced in yard
  • New roof
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHFENCED IN YARDNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,424 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $125k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,390
List price
$125,000
Delta
72.68%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-9,882
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,809
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17764

Home prices YoY
-6.0%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-26
    listed $125,000 Active 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    Rare find-beautiful woodwork, enclosed front porch, 5 bedrooms, fenced in yard, new roof - surrounded by nearby recreational activities ATVs, fishing @ Bush Dam, hiking, hunting in the Cross Fork area.

  17. 2024-07-08
    soldstatus $83,000
  18. 2024-06-27
    soldstatus Closed 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.

  19. 2024-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.

  20. 2024-04-13
    listed $76,000 Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,223 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 30.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,609
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,223
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,249
− Management
−$1,249
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$41
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10
After-tax cash flow
$1,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Keystone Central SD
NCES district ID
4212725
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,713
Composite
32.09/100
National rank
#5810
State rank
#384 of 539 in PA

Livability — Renovo

Score
61/100
State rank
#1424
US rank
#18059

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Renovo, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,460

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,048 people
By 2030
38,812 · -0.6%
By 2040
38,011 · -2.7%
By 2050
36,931 · -5.4%
By 2075
34,077 · -12.7%
By 2100
29,683 · -24.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.16%
Current HPI
111.66
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $125,000 WBVAR
  • 2024-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2024-06-27 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2024-05-03 Contingent WBVAR
  • 2024-04-13 Listed $76,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

-17.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,223 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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