164 8th St · Renovo, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare find-beautiful woodwork, enclosed front porch, 5 bedrooms, fenced in yard, new roof - surrounded by nearby recreational activities ATVs, fishing @ Bush Dam, hiking, hunting in the Cross Fork area.
Key facts
- Fenced in yard
- New roof
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,424 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $125k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.48%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,390
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 72.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-9,882
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,809
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17764
- Home prices YoY
- -6.0%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-26$125,000 Active 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Rare find-beautiful woodwork, enclosed front porch, 5 bedrooms, fenced in yard, new roof - surrounded by nearby recreational activities ATVs, fishing @ Bush Dam, hiking, hunting in the Cross Fork area.
-
2024-07-08soldstatus $83,000
-
2024-06-27soldstatus Closed 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.
-
2024-05-03historical Active Under Contract 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.
-
2024-04-13$76,000 Active 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Talk about beautiful wood work and charming features! This home is located on a corner lot nestled in the middle of the mountains of Western Clinton County. Would make a great Airbnb, or keep it in it's current state which is a long term rental with proven rental history and good tenants. Lots of recreational activities nearby, so bring your hunting gear, trail shoes, fishing rods and ATV's! Check out the basement moisture abatement system including sump pump, canals around LL circumference, wrapped walls and dehumidifier. Also, heat was extended to the 3rd floor making this a rare 5 bedroom home. Call Amy Probst at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Hodrick Realty at 570-367-0052 for your private tour.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,599 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$376/yr (+$31/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,223
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,249
- − Management
- −$1,249
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$41
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keystone Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212725
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,713
- Composite
- 32.09/100
- National rank
- #5810
- State rank
- #384 of 539 in PA
Livability — Renovo
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1424
- US rank
- #18059
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Renovo, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,460
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,048 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,011 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 36,931 · -5.4%
- By 2075
- 34,077 · -12.7%
- By 2100
- 29,683 · -24.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.16%
- Current HPI
- 111.66
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+64.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $125,000 WBVAR
- 2024-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-27 Sold (MLS) — WBVAR
- 2024-05-03 Contingent — WBVAR
- 2024-04-13 Listed $76,000 WBVAR
Property tax history
-17.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,223 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…