603 English St · Jerseyville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$71,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely freshly remodeled, 2 bedroom, beautiful original hardwood floors . plus water laminate , central heat , new stove and refrigerator , upscale bathroom, washer dryer hookup, bonus kitchen / utility area new cabinets and countertop and sink , ceiling fans in all rooms , newer storage in back yard , good location , make this lovely home your own
Key facts
- Central heat
- New stove
- Upscale bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($855 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.6% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($497 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $72k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,479
- List price
- $71,900
- Delta
- -27.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 W Spruce St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-0%) | 0mo | $130,500 | $160 | 88 |
| 403 Lincoln Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 845 (+3%) | 2mo | $71,500 | $85 | 85 |
| 713 Harrison St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 775 (-5%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $103 | 78 |
| 101 S Liberty St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-0%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $122 | 77 |
| 308 Lincoln Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 856 (+4%) | 8mo | $98,500 | $115 | 74 |
| 404 Hollow Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (+8%) | 13mo | $129,990 | $147 | 70 |
| 206 Hollow Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (-9%) | 11mo | $87,000 | $117 | 69 |
| 907 W Exchange St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-12%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 202 Snedeker St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+9%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 1115 W Carpenter St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 753 (-8%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 705 S Arch St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 885 (+8%) | 6mo | $54,900 | $62 | 50 |
| 313 E Prairie St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 887 (+8%) | 9mo | $99,000 | $112 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $50,153
- Equity at exit
- $64,773
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $139,094
- Equity at exit
- $139,686
Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62052
- Home prices YoY
- 10.2%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $855 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$377
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,155/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $193 | +0% $172 | +5% $152 | +10% $132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $139 | +0% $172 | +5% $206 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $191 | base $172 | +0.5pp $154 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,975
- Closing costs
- $2,157
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 George St Unit K Jerseyville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 211 W County Rd Jerseyville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $950 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $71,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $71,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $71,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $71,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $71,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $71,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-02-25$71,900 Active 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
Lovely freshly remodeled, 2 bedroom, beautiful original hardwood floors . plus water laminate , central heat , new stove and refrigerator , upscale bathroom, washer dryer hookup, bonus kitchen / utility area new cabinets and countertop and sink , ceiling fans in all rooms , newer storage in back yard , good location , make this lovely home your own
-
2019-02-04soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,155 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$239/yr (+$20/mo · 20.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,262
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,028
- − Property taxes
- −$1,155
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$821
- − Management
- −$821
- − Depreciation
- −$2,092
- Taxable income
- $987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$237
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jersey CUSD 100
- NCES district ID
- 1720430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,066
- Composite
- 25.13/100
- National rank
- #7522
- State rank
- #260 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jerseyville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #6498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jerseyville, IL
- City population
- 12,483
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,483
Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,031 people
- By 2030
- 20,138 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 18,077 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 15,882 · -24.5%
- By 2075
- 11,718 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 8,546 · -59.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jersey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 255.48
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+139.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listed $71,900 Fizber.com
- 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,155 · +83.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…