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2664 State Route 30 Multi-family
D Composite 40.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$179,900

2664 State Route 30 · Tupper Lake, NY 12986
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,880 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 392 Days on market
Built 1955 0.70 ac lot $62/sqft · 61% below area Est $303k · 41% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

Key facts

  • Oversized garage
  • Mixed-use zoning
  • 0.7 acre lot

Tags

OVERSIZED GARAGEBACK-UP HOUSE GENERATORMIXED-USE ZONINGHIGH VISIBILITY LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-391 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (38.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (27.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 1.8% in Tupper Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#661 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Tupper Lake Central School District (rural): math 36% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #561 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 392 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,778 (38.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 392 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
3.68%
Cash-on-cash
-9.32%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$303,417
List price
$179,900
Delta
-40.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$6,086
Equity at exit
$90,683
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$45,875
Equity at exit
$147,900

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12986

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,307 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$406 /mo · $4,867/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $110,778
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-289 -5% $-340 +0% $-391 +5% $-442 +10% $-493
Rent -10% $-495 -5% $-443 +0% $-391 +5% $-340 +10% $-288
Rate -1.0pp $-301 -0.5pp $-346 base $-391 +0.5pp $-438 +1.0pp $-485

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $179,900 Active 392 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 390 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 389 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 388 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 387 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 385 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $179,900 Active 384 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 381 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 380 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 379 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 378 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 375 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 374 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 373 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 372 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    status Active 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  17. 2026-05-02
    historical 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  18. 2026-03-24
    price $179,900 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  19. 2026-01-07
    price $189,900 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  20. 2025-09-15
    price $199,900 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  21. 2025-08-01
    price $219,900 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

  22. 2025-05-24
    listed $229,900 Active 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Here's your opportunity to preview a well-kept 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom family home that also includes a separate 1-bedroom apartment. This property is in move-in ready condition and presents a fantastic opportunity. The adjacent apartment has excellent potential for generating income through long-term rental or as an Airbnb. Additionally, the property features an oversized garage and workshop, which would be ideal for anyone needing extra workspace. A back-up house Generator is a huge bonus too. Inside the main house, you'll find a comfortable living room with a fireplace, a very functional kitchen, and nicely sized bedrooms. Both the front and back of the home feature porches, perfect for enjoying the outdoors. An added benefit of this property is its mixed-use zoning, which allows for home businesses in addition to residential use. The location also benefits from high visibility due to its position on the combined section of NYS Routes 3 & 30. Please feel free to reach out if you would like to schedule a time to see the property. Please schedule your showing 24 hours in advance!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,867 · $406/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,867 · $406/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,687
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$4,867
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$7,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,896
After-tax cash flow
$-2,799/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tupper Lake Central School District
NCES district ID
3629160
Math proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,543
Composite
29.18/100
National rank
#6572
State rank
#561 of 590 in NY

Livability — Tupper Lake

Score
66/100
State rank
#661
US rank
#12343

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,304
Population (ZIP)
5,304

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,098 people
By 2030
46,790 · -2.7%
By 2040
44,400 · -7.7%
By 2050
41,256 · -14.2%
By 2075
32,190 · -33.1%
By 2100
23,407 · -51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 20% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.95%
Current HPI
281.1979
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted ACVMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Delisted ACVMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $179,900 ACVMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $189,900 ACVMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $199,900 ACVMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $219,900 ACVMLS
  • 2025-05-24 Listed $229,900 ACVMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,867 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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