None · Brookhaven, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 93.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Call to make an appointment to see.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1930
- Listed 666 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.0% in Brookhaven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#96 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Brookhaven School District (town): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #73 of 130 in MS (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 667 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 93% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 667 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.89%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,132
- List price
- $99,950
- Delta
- -30.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Lucas St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,398 (-3%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $46 | 78 |
| 624 Mockingbird Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,469 (+2%) | 12mo | $217,500 | $148 | 70 |
| 430 Crider Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+7%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $99 | 65 |
| 1507 N Jackson St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-2%) | 16mo | $159,500 | $113 | 57 |
| 513 N Jackson St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (-1%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $95 | 50 |
| 555 Olive | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-3%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $89 | 48 |
| 1608 N Jackson | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+11%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $69 | 47 |
| 160 Cherry St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,552 (+8%) | 2mo | $39,900 | $26 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $11,845
- Equity at exit
- $14,903
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $46,389
- Equity at exit
- $8,642
Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $871/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,988
- Closing costs
- $2,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,950 Active 667 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,950 Active 666 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,950 Active 665 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,950 Active 664 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,950 Active 662 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,950 Active 661 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,950 Active 658 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,950 Active 657 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,950 Active 656 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,950 Active 655 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,950 Active 652 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,950 Active 651 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,950 Active 650 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,950 Active 649 DOM
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2025-04-07soldstatus
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2025-03-28soldstatus Closed 35-char remark
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-
2025-03-12status Pending 35-char remark
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-
2025-03-07price $69,950 35-char remark
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2025-02-23status Active 35-char remark
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2025-02-21historical 35-char remark
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2025-01-20price $79,950 35-char remark
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2024-10-04price $89,950 35-char remark
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2024-08-21$99,950 Active 35-char remark
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2024-08-08$99,950 Active 55-char remark
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Call (662)466-0012 to set an appointment to view today!
-
2004-09-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $871 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $871 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 93% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,387
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,599
- − Property taxes
- −$871
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$2,908
- Taxable income
- $3,888
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$933
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brookhaven School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800840
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,498
- Composite
- 23.49/100
- National rank
- #7874
- State rank
- #73 of 130 in MS
Livability — Brookhaven
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #12022
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookhaven, MS
- City population
- 23,748
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,748
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,188 people
- By 2030
- 33,627 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 32,089 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 29,981 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 23,581 · -31.0%
- By 2100
- 16,413 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.4) · D 27.0% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.2pp · 2024: -45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.4 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+32.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.93%
- Current HPI
- 159.7072
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-30.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2025-03-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $69,950 MLSU
- 2025-02-23 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-02-21 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-01-20 Price Changed $79,950 MLSU
- 2024-10-04 Price Changed $89,950 MLSU
- 2024-08-21 Listed $99,950 MLSU
- 2024-08-08 Listed $99,950 GBOR
- 2004-09-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $871 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…