639 Fairfield Blvd · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$293,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Agents this could be a 6 Bedroom home, the large room in back was added on about 10 yrs. ’ ago. It has a full bath & lrg walk-in closet (24 x 15 ). This large home could easily be a 5 BR or 6 bedrooms. Enclosed screened in front porch. Enter nice living room. Kitchen has loads of cabinet & counter space. Den off kitchen has extra storage space. Again room on back could be lrg MBR or recreation room. Rear screened porch + super backyard. Near all great schools!
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1962
- Listed 259 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: Covered off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Detached property; Split-level style; Single-story (1); Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard with wood fence; Screened porch; Porch; Converted garage; Attic; Recreation room
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range; Dishwasher; Pantry; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom with full bathroom; Master bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air (natural gas); Central air; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; Fireplace (wood); Wood stove; Scuttle access; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $293k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $276k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Phillips Elementary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 417 students, 84% FRL); Benjamin Syms Middle (math 62% / reading 64%, grade B+, #134 of 342 statewide, top 40%, 897 students, 69% FRL); Kecoughtan High (math 68% / reading 87%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 1,564 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 49% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.44%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639 Fairfield Blvd | 0.00mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,015 (+7%) | 1mo | $288,000 | $143 | 83 |
| 116 Pine Creek Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 1,975 (+5%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $203 | 76 |
| 919 Laredo Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,812 (-4%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $210 | 69 |
| 475 Fox Hill Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,743 (-8%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $158 | 67 |
| 12 Alton Ct | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 1,787 (-5%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 3 Kansas Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,851 (-2%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $194 | 65 |
| 13 Wooded Hill Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 1,736 (-8%) | 1mo | $338,000 | $195 | 64 |
| 3 Travis Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 1,787 (-5%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $201 | 63 |
| 508 Timberneck Ct | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (+1%) | 2mo | $349,900 | $184 | 61 |
| 425 Sonora Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,648 (-13%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 325 Fox Hill Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,745 (-8%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $198 | 54 |
| 9 Colonial Acres Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,100 (+11%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $200 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-47,459
- Equity at exit
- $43,687
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-22,613
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
Cash invested: $82,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23669
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,442 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,537
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $-97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $69 | -5% $-14 | +0% $-97 | +5% $-180 | +10% $-263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-290 | -5% $-193 | +0% $-97 | +5% $0 | +10% $96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $51 | -0.5pp $-22 | base $-97 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,250
- Closing costs
- $8,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428 Fort Worth St Hampton, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2420 | $2,995 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 443 Sonora Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1726 | $2,395 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 801 Lemaster Ave Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1835 | $2,700 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11 Camellia Ln Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 948 Allendale Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,195 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1 Sandpiper Ct Hampton, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2269 | $2,850 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 29 Glascow Way Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1382 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 510 Kingston Hall Ct Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 244 Loch Cir Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 10 Westlawn Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,295 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 128 Fort Worth St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1851 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2109 Newton Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1700 | $2,312 | $1.36 | 3d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 44 Glenhaven Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 348 Wrexham Ct Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2193 | $2,400 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2001 Grimes Rd Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6 Colgate Cir Hampton, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 202 Admiral Ct Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2623 | $2,550 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2304 Burnette Dr Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1805 Nickerson Blvd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1393 | $1,695 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11 Overlook Ct Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 18 Colonies Lndg Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-17status Under Contract
-
2026-04-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-11price $293,000
-
2026-03-03status Active
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-02-03price $297,999
-
2026-02-03status Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-10price $298,000
-
2025-08-25price $307,400
-
2025-07-31price $309,900
-
2025-06-25$310,000 Active
-
2025-06-07historical
-
2025-04-16price $320,000
-
2025-03-12$330,000 Active
-
2021-08-02soldstatus $260,000
-
2021-07-02status Under Contract
-
2021-07-01price $260,000
-
2021-06-25$249,900 Active
-
2014-03-14soldstatus $137,000
-
2013-10-07price $147,900 Active
-
2013-08-13price $149,500 Active
-
1997-06-01soldstatus $38,000
-
1962-03-01soldstatus $14,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,413
- − Property taxes
- −$3,610
- − Insurance
- −$2,262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,344
- − Management
- −$2,344
- − Depreciation
- −$8,524
- Taxable loss
- −$6,193
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,486
- After-tax cash flow
- $326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,884
- Household income
- $71,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2130.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 276.4636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.44%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+1879.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $293,000 REINMLS
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $297,999 REINMLS
- 2026-02-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $298,000 REINMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $307,400 REINMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $309,900 REINMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $310,000 REINMLS
- 2025-06-07 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $320,000 REINMLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $330,000 REINMLS
- 2021-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-02 Pending — REINMLS
- 2021-07-01 Price Changed $260,000 REINMLS
- 2021-06-25 Listed $249,900 REINMLS
- 2014-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-07 Price Changed $147,900 REINMLS
- 2013-08-13 Price Changed $149,500 REINMLS
- 1997-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1962-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,610 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…