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528 N 12th St
B- Composite 66.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

528 N 12th St · Salina, KS 67401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,178 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1920 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Full kitchen
  • Main floor laundry

Tags

MOVE-IN READYFULL KITCHENLARGE SEPARATE DINING ROOMMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYMAINTENANCE FREE VINYL SIDINGFULL FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family onsite-built home; One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Composition roof; Cellar foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Chain-link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Cellar basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-floor laundry with 220V hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#127 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Salina (town): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #134 of 169 in KS (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Oakdale Elem (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #463 of 684 statewide, top 73%, 290 students, 82% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #167 of 219 statewide, top 78%, 688 students, 65% FRL); Salina High Central (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #247 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 944 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $100k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.80%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$9,206
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$51,155
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67401

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $933/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $814
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $109,000
  18. 2026-04-09
    price $114,000
  19. 2026-03-18
    listed $119,000 Active
  20. 2012-07-13
    soldstatus $50,000
  21. 2012-07-01
    listed $50,000
  22. 2005-08-01
    soldstatus $53,781

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$933 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,409 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$476/yr (+$40/mo · 51.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,010
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$933
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$642
After-tax cash flow
$3,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salina
NCES district ID
2011370
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,726
Composite
21.94/100
National rank
#8224
State rank
#134 of 169 in KS

Livability — Salina

Score
71/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#6569

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salina, KS
County
Saline County · 50,217 people
City population
50,217
Metro
Salina, KS
Population (ZIP)
50,217
Household income
$64,606
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1536.0

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,099 people
By 2030
54,446 · -1.2%
By 2040
52,572 · -4.6%
By 2050
50,362 · -8.6%
By 2075
45,522 · -17.4%
By 2100
40,059 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 64.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.03%
Current HPI
175.4541
Rent YoY
▲ 5.66%
Metro
Salina, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+102.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $109,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $114,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $119,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2012-07-01 Listed $50,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,781 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $933 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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