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12041 Sanders Dr
C- Composite 50.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

12041 Sanders Dr · Tittabawassee, MI 48623
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1972 0.37 ac lot $161/sqft · 13% below area Est $277k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Workshop area
  • Covered patio

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTLAUNDRY ROOMDEDICATED STORAGE ROOMWORKSHOP AREAFENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Freeland Community School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #46 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $198,051 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.43%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,785
List price
$240,000
Delta
-13.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12160 Sanders Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,551 (+4%) 8mo $245,000 $158 77
8700 N Gleaner Rd 0.08mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (-2%) 15mo $225,000 $155 72
11901 Scott Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,657 (+11%) 8mo $525,900 $317 60
8530 Delaney Dr 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,650 (+10%) 13mo $219,000 $133 59
12518 Scott Rd 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,328 (-11%) 10mo $229,900 $173 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-30,346
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-15,733
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48623

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,981 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $841/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,808
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $204 +0% $136 +5% $68 +10% $0
Rent -10% $-21 -5% $58 +0% $136 +5% $214 +10% $292
Rate -1.0pp $257 -0.5pp $197 base $136 +0.5pp $74 +1.0pp $10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $240,000 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 190 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $240,000 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 181 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $240,000 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $240,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-02-06
    soldstatus $225,000
  18. 2026-02-02
    soldstatus $225,000 Closed 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  19. 2026-02-02
    soldstatus $225,000 Closed 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  20. 2026-01-10
    status Pending 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  21. 2026-01-10
    listed $240,000 Active 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  22. 2026-01-10
    status Pending 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  23. 2026-01-09
    listed $240,000 Active 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    Welcome to 12041 Sanders Drive, a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch located in the highly desirable Freeland School District. This home features a primary bedroom with private en suite bath, an eat in kitchen, and a spacious living room with plenty of natural light. The finished basement offers additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Additional features include a 2.5 car garage, fenced in backyard, and a covered patio perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near schools, parks, and everyday amenities.

  24. 2025-12-10
    listed $240,000 Active
  25. 2004-05-05
    soldstatus $144,000
  26. 2004-03-12
    historical
  27. 2004-03-11
    soldstatus $144,000
  28. 2004-03-11
    soldstatus $144,000
  29. 2003-10-06
    historical
  30. 2003-10-06
    historical
  31. 2003-10-03
    listed $149,900
  32. 2003-10-03
    listed $149,900
  33. 2003-04-23
    listed $159,900
  34. 2003-04-23
    listed $159,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$841 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,269 · $189/mo
Expected delta
+$1,427/yr (+$119/mo · 169.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,766
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$841
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$2,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$601
After-tax cash flow
$2,232/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Freeland Community School District
NCES district ID
2615060
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$70,875
Composite
50.98/100
National rank
#1779
State rank
#46 of 540 in MI

Livability — Tittabawassee

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeland, MI
Population (ZIP)
15,126

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.02%
Current HPI
213.8908
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-02 Sold (MLS) $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-02 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $240,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $240,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $240,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2004-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-03-11 Sold (MLS) $144,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-03-11 Sold (MLS) $144,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-10-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-10-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-10-03 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-10-03 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-04-23 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-04-23 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $841 · -71.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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