589 Mckinley St · Hazleton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom home with gas heat offering great potential. Features a large attic with storage or expansion possibilities and a spacious backyard. Needs some TLC--ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to add value. Items inside will be removed prior to closing. Sold as-is. Owner has materials for roofing, flooring, and many more additional improvements, and is open to negotiation.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Flooring materials
- Roofing materials
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 4.5% in Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#930 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.79%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,838
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667 Roosevelt St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,488 (-3%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $121 | 84 |
| 763 Mcnair St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-1%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $151 | 80 |
| 16 Third St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,435 (-7%) | 3mo | $76,000 | $53 | 78 |
| 784 James St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,511 (-2%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $113 | 69 |
| 738 Peace St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,424 (-8%) | 2mo | $229 | — | 64 |
| 644 Locust St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-9%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $118 | 61 |
| 307 Green St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,470 (-5%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $112 | 58 |
| 320 Rear Broad St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+4%) | 4mo | $252,000 | $158 | 57 |
| 921 921 W 20th St St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+4%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $169 | 55 |
| 889 Grant St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,670 (+8%) | 0mo | $199,500 | $119 | 54 |
| 806 Lafayette Ct | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (-12%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $115 | 44 |
| 669 Vine St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-12%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $110 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $21,290
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $62,782
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18201
- Home prices YoY
- -14.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,878/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $582 | -5% $559 | +0% $537 | +5% $514 | +10% $491 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $422 | -5% $479 | +0% $537 | +5% $594 | +10% $651 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $557 | base $537 | +0.5pp $516 | +1.0pp $495 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538 Carson St Hazleton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-18$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,878 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,878 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,878
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,538
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,329
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hazleton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #930
- US rank
- #10115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazleton, PA
- City population
- 13,755
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,428
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 54% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.00%
- Current HPI
- 354.7443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-01-18 Listed $79,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,878 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…